PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.93. up 0.25 over the period, from 0.68. Range 0.60 to 0.93. 136 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.933636
0.941046
0.95810856
0.961,0401,896
0.975662,462
0.981,2163,678
0.991,1604,837

Spread0.01Mid0.93

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.92471471
0.911,0291,501
0.903951,896
0.894502,346
0.881002,446
0.802002,646
0.7852,651
0.77102,661
0.75262,687
0.742002,887
0.73562,943
0.72392,982

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08471471
0.091,0291,501
0.103951,896
0.114502,346
0.121002,446
0.202002,646
0.2252,651
0.23102,661
0.25262,687
0.262002,887
0.27562,943
0.28392,982

Spread0.01Mid0.08

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.073636
0.061046
0.05810856
0.041,0401,896
0.035662,462
0.021,2163,678
0.011,1604,837

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
shovelingdiggingYes1,329
chefradishYes630.58
JJoyce1904Yes171
lenni62Yes161.41
crayvenYes138.16
SuperTestsYes137.98
TyphoonStruggleYes100
DW1Yes60.71
GotGreenWoodYes50
KvasirYes50
SweetcheeksYes50
gaut6375Yes45
0x7f8d…33d5Yes45
pootytherewardfarmerYes39.23
0xe4B827145f126d7e2BDe2C18B6eAE1B98CFe6a79-1788796846577Yes21.06
Dr.PNLYes16.01
AusMaximusYes15.96
castor90Yes12.05
sek123Yes11.9
WarrenBluffettYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:27:20BUYYes0.92999998142$2.00
10:06:09BUYYes0.92999998885$5.00
09:28:44BUYYes0.92999999071$1.00
07:53:36BUYNo0.0850$4.00
03:20:42BUYNo0.08160$12.84
02:45:21SELLYes0.925$4.60
01:48:26SELLNo0.085$0.40
00:08:29BUYYes0.95$4.50
23:28:53SELLNo0.125$0.60
23:27:15BUYYes0.8369259706119$100.00
21:18:59SELLYes0.815$3.66
21:12:21BUYYes0.82999990871$1.00
20:36:42BUYYes0.829999996712$10.00
20:03:57SELLNo0.1750$8.50
19:58:44BUYYes0.811881188246$200.00
18:07:15SELLYes0.781883805663$49.39
17:31:47BUYYes0.839999993312$10.00
16:52:36SELLNo0.1947$8.93
16:52:18BUYNo0.256$11.20
16:04:03SELLNo0.195$1.03
16:04:00BUYYes0.8099999993123$100.00
15:17:48BUYNo0.2210$2.20
14:48:06BUYYes0.763$1.92
14:48:05BUYYes0.7620$15.20
14:48:05BUYYes0.75160963131,329$998.89