Sweetcheeks
0xd15c1ad2fc17cb677b3f4d4e26e419893ccea712
- Realised P&L
- $-36.07
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $203.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.375 | $67.50 | +$6.84 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.235 | $58.75 | +$22.42 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.740 | $44.40 | +$5.40 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.100 | $18.70 | −$4.62 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.076 | $13.68 | +$5.01 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in January? · No | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January? · No | 0.743 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.36at 0.522Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$4.29at 0.853Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?
- +$1.19at 0.988Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$1.07at 0.949Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?
- +$-2.48at 0.799Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:37 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September? | BUY | 0.122884338 | $17.04 |
| 09-14 14:57 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 09-14 14:57 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-14 14:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.337 | $60.66 |
| 09-14 14:44 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.98752 | $98.75 |
| 09-14 12:39 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0450455927 | $2.96 |
| 09-11 20:36 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.15155 | $30.31 |
| 09-11 20:35 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.1204 | $6.02 |
| 09-11 11:30 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 02-26 21:06 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 02-19 21:00 | Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | SELL | 0.7 | $17.52 |
| 02-16 20:53 | Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | BUY | 0.7989999955 | $20.00 |
| 02-16 20:50 | Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | BUY | 0.8534197572 | $25.00 |
| 02-13 12:40 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January? | BUY | 0.5116278963 | $10.00 |
| 02-13 12:21 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |