castor90
0x62bae9292f0de0fdfec40eb4b462355547ae31db
- Realised P&L
- $-678.47
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 785
- Open portfolio
- $44.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded785
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.15at 0.587Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$47.71at 0.746Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
- +$44.70at 0.576Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$43.17at 0.667Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
- +$41.90at 0.547Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:30 | Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.63 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:21 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6499999607 | $4.13 |
| 09-25 15:14 | Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:13 | Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:12 | Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5) | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 04:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5429999487 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:54 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:45 | Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 17:02 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 00:40 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:54 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 13:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 12:47 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 04:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.548 | $5.48 |
| 09-23 02:59 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |