PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

castor90

0x62bae9292f0de0fdfec40eb4b462355547ae31db

Realised P&L
$-389.94
Volume
$23.0k
Markets traded
642
Open portfolio
$165.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded642
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? · Yes0.6960.780$28.02+$3.02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.6720.700$26.04+$1.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · Yes0.6180.635$25.71+$0.71
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August? · No0.7100.690$24.29$0.71
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.565$23.54$1.46
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes0.7500.695$23.16$1.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.6670.405$15.19$9.81
Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-01-24? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.70
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$15.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$30.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$10.00
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-04? · No0.7000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$3.40
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5300.000$0.00$15.00
Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5940.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:28Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August?BUY0.7099999957$25.00
08-02 12:22Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?BUY0.6959385$25.00
08-02 12:20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.6175298763$25.00
08-02 12:19Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.75$25.00
08-01 15:52Will IK Brage win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.67$10.05
08-01 15:46Will FK Teplice win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.63$9.44
08-01 15:31Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.5382059706$15.00
08-01 15:02IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs. Fram Reykjavik: O/U 3.5BUY0.5599999895$15.00
08-01 14:38Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4399999847$15.00
08-01 13:26Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.5$15.00
08-01 13:00Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4399999847$15.00
08-01 12:44Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.8149999929$15.00
08-01 12:38Will Turun Palloseura win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.8199999923$15.00
08-01 11:48Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)BUY0.64$15.00
08-01 11:09Will Ostersunds FK win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4399999839$12.00