PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

castor90

0x62bae9292f0de0fdfec40eb4b462355547ae31db

Realised P&L
$-678.47
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
785
Open portfolio
$44.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded785
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5400.625$5.79+$0.79
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6100.635$5.20+$0.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5430.555$5.12+$0.12
Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5) · São Bernardo FC0.6300.620$4.92−$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.715$4.83−$0.17
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.6000.565$4.71−$0.29
Spread: France (-2.5) · Türkiye0.7800.715$4.58−$0.42
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-09-25? · No0.6500.645$4.10−$0.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Yes0.4500.230$2.56−$2.44
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes0.8000.245$1.53−$3.47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes0.5480.088$0.88−$4.60
Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-01-24? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.70
Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette · Magda Linette0.7700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:30Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.63$5.00
09-25 15:21Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.6499999607$4.13
09-25 15:14Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-25 15:13Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.599999976$5.00
09-25 15:12Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5)BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-25 04:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5429999487$5.00
09-25 01:54Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-25 00:45Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5)BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-24 17:02Spread: Norway (-1.5)BUY0.64$5.00
09-24 00:40Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.64$5.00
09-23 14:54Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.7799999813$5.00
09-23 13:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5399999568$5.00
09-23 12:47Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
09-23 04:43Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.548$5.48
09-23 02:59Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7399999734$5.00