Kvasir
0x8ea3af44c3e147e546f877a1afa1b17a0b1852a1
- Realised P&L
- $-523.17
- Volume
- $108.3k
- Markets traded
- 412
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded412
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.94at 0.477United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$165.85at 0.769Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$141.18at 0.743Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$111.52at 0.790Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$95.80at 0.852Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 09:51 | Will United States win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6999999979 | $67.00 |
| 09-29 09:41 | Finland vs. Belarus: Finland O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8399999987 | $80.00 |
| 09-29 06:10 | Luxembourg vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 19:01 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 19:00 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 13:25 | Luxembourg vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 13:18 | Spain vs. Croatia: Spain O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-28 13:17 | Belgium vs. France: France O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.87 | $130.50 |
| 09-28 11:23 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.48 |
| 09-27 18:13 | Norway vs. Portugal: Norway O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 13:28 | Norway vs. Portugal: Norway O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 13:28 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 17:54 | England vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8499999993 | $60.00 |
| 09-26 16:32 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $76.19 |
| 09-25 18:58 | Sweden vs. Romania: Sweden O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9741550689 | $100.00 |