PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7f8d4f5dac123c2292d7531860ee8492f2b933d5

Realised P&L
$-48.03
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$43.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? · Yes0.8200.740$40.70$4.40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7100.115$2.30$11.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 16:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.71$14.20
08-18 16:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.28$14.00
08-15 12:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.983$49.15
07-26 10:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.84$68.88
07-26 10:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.992$69.44
07-19 12:10Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.076$5.70
07-07 17:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.015$5.76
07-04 18:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.171$46.17
07-04 06:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.173$4.50
07-03 21:04Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.194$17.07
07-03 09:32Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.024$3.91
07-02 09:51Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.66$3.30
06-23 16:09Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.6799999981$100.00