PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.06 to 0.36. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.24280280
0.2560340
0.26160500
0.2750550
0.28100650
0.295655
0.7480735
0.9424759
0.9540799
0.9820818
0.9960878

Spread0.03Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.219090
0.20320410
0.1021431
0.0755486
0.0311497
0.0242539
0.0167606

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.799090
0.80320410
0.9021431
0.9355486
0.9711497
0.9842539
0.9967606

Spread0.03Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.76280280
0.7560340
0.74160500
0.7350550
0.72100650
0.715655
0.2680735
0.0624759
0.0540799
0.0220818
0.0160878

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes518.97
rocky42008Yes122
just-bettorYes40.3
MrYanDaoYes34
pppnnYes26.44
GuyFromTinderYes15.56
tradetosurvive1Yes10.65
G24L8Yes10
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
yrnmvYes3
grinder1011No545.74
eqzwe103qwieNo104
financegaaaydogNo64.92
PPMTNo30
SmartBoyBillyNo20.02
ZhouCDNo9
timeistmoneyNo8.77
chaosj88No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:52:28BUYYes0.2211$2.42
08:10:49BUYYes0.2220$4.40
06:37:04BUYYes0.1920$3.80
22:51:10BUYYes0.2320$4.60
19:29:20BUYYes0.2320$4.60
11:47:43BUYNo0.7420$14.80
10:03:42BUYYes0.2120$4.20
18:21:45BUYYes0.1810$1.80
01:10:19SELLNo0.8220$16.40
13:49:41BUYNo0.7514$10.68
13:47:35BUYNo0.7433$24.05
13:45:02BUYNo0.7331$22.63
13:43:44SELLNo0.545$2.69
13:43:11BUYYes0.08276$22.07
13:43:11BUYYes0.0915$1.35
10:27:17SELLYes0.0919$1.71
22:44:56BUYYes0.1217$2.04
15:44:20SELLNo0.792$1.62
15:44:17BUYNo0.8034897716102$82.00
07:47:53SELLYes0.2111$2.31
06:30:04BUYNo0.795$3.95
01:35:23BUYNo0.8220$16.40
01:35:02BUYNo0.8220$16.40
00:15:26BUYYes0.3099999849$2.72
20:27:55BUYYes0.169999995520$3.39