Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- None on this market
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 15 | 15 |
| 0.63 | 11 | 26 |
| 0.65 | 10 | 36 |
| 0.67 | 6 | 42 |
| 0.75 | 500 | 542 |
| 0.79 | 50 | 592 |
| 0.83 | 281 | 873 |
| 0.90 | 66 | 939 |
| 0.96 | 5 | 944 |
| 0.97 | 20 | 964 |
| 0.98 | 36 | 1,001 |
| 0.99 | 25 | 1,026 |
Spread0.20Mid0.52
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 32 | 32 |
| 0.30 | 20 | 52 |
| 0.29 | 21 | 73 |
| 0.28 | 1,386 | 1,459 |
| 0.11 | 80 | 1,539 |
| 0.10 | 7 | 1,546 |
| 0.06 | 10 | 1,556 |
| 0.05 | 805 | 2,361 |
| 0.02 | 158 | 2,519 |
| 0.01 | 5,025 | 7,544 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 32 | 32 |
| 0.70 | 20 | 52 |
| 0.71 | 21 | 73 |
| 0.72 | 1,386 | 1,459 |
| 0.89 | 80 | 1,539 |
| 0.90 | 7 | 1,546 |
| 0.94 | 10 | 1,556 |
| 0.95 | 805 | 2,361 |
| 0.98 | 158 | 2,519 |
| 0.99 | 5,025 | 7,544 |
Spread0.20Mid0.48
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 15 | 15 |
| 0.37 | 11 | 26 |
| 0.35 | 10 | 36 |
| 0.33 | 6 | 42 |
| 0.25 | 500 | 542 |
| 0.21 | 50 | 592 |
| 0.17 | 281 | 873 |
| 0.10 | 66 | 939 |
| 0.04 | 5 | 944 |
| 0.03 | 20 | 964 |
| 0.02 | 36 | 1,001 |
| 0.01 | 25 | 1,026 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vagabund97 | Yes | 490.07 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 361.64 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 110.58 |
| esssboot | Yes | 50 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 40 |
| 0x3923dC0eE95ef241047F6Fb5b75D7A08d90f6833-1778964787310 | Yes | 21.54 |
| johncashi | Yes | 20 |
| Xplo | Yes | 20 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | 16 |
| Majas | Yes | 4.36 |
| NoSteinNoGate | No | 1,102.03 |
| cloverpmq2 | No | 12 |
| quine-zyx | No | 10 |
| 0x52eb…ec36 | No | 7.18 |
| MoPo-805 | No | 2.13 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:59:39 | SELL | No | 0.42 | 20 | $8.40 |
| 21:25:34 | BUY | No | 0.45 | 20 | $9.00 |
| 19:17:48 | BUY | No | 0.42 | 12 | $5.04 |
| 16:33:55 | BUY | No | 0.36 | 60 | $21.60 |
| 15:22:19 | BUY | Yes | 0.6999999721 | 22 | $15.08 |
| 15:08:52 | BUY | No | 0.3208759078 | 632 | $202.80 |
| 06:42:09 | BUY | No | 0.23 | 50 | $11.50 |
| 01:12:22 | BUY | No | 0.28 | 7 | $2.01 |
| 00:00:43 | SELL | Yes | 0.66 | 0 | $0.06 |
| 00:00:42 | BUY | Yes | 0.7158010941 | 17 | $12.24 |
| 00:00:42 | BUY | Yes | 0.7 | 17 | $11.90 |
| 00:00:42 | SELL | No | 0.31 | 18 | $5.54 |
| 22:00:27 | SELL | No | 0.29 | 18 | $5.18 |
| 19:53:25 | BUY | Yes | 0.64 | 40 | $25.71 |
| 19:52:25 | BUY | Yes | 0.62 | 9 | $5.39 |
| 19:06:21 | BUY | Yes | 0.6 | 5 | $3.00 |
| 18:54:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.58 | 3 | $1.74 |
| 18:53:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.6 | 16 | $9.60 |
| 18:53:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.63 | 50 | $31.50 |
| 18:53:45 | SELL | Yes | 0.64 | 31 | $19.84 |
| 18:24:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.66 | 100 | $66.00 |
| 18:22:58 | BUY | No | 0.2859574468 | 470 | $134.40 |
| 06:44:00 | SELL | No | 0.28 | 10,000 | $2800.00 |
| 06:31:19 | SELL | No | 0.28 | 8,400 | $2352.00 |
| 06:29:25 | SELL | No | 0.28 | 7,600 | $2128.00 |