0x3923dC0eE95ef241047F6Fb5b75D7A08d90f6833-1778964787310
0x3923dc0ee95ef241047f6fb5b75d7a08d90f6833
- Realised P&L
- $-426.62
- Volume
- $49.6k
- Markets traded
- 407
- Open portfolio
- $91.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded407
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.80at 0.063Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
- +$147.01at 0.104Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$119.78at 0.253Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 15?
- +$97.34at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?
- +$91.41at 0.411Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:05 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | SELL | 0.747 | $3.86 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.1617735747 | $10.57 |
| 11-01 20:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.0699999996 | $5.22 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in November? | BUY | 0.4699999829 | $6.32 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 11-01 18:05 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November? | BUY | 0.3299999969 | $15.04 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | BUY | 0.5690651797 | $15.10 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.4324 | $2.16 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.81 |
| 10-31 22:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October? | BUY | 0.086952989 | $2.38 |
| 10-31 19:19 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 10-31 19:19 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | BUY | 0.359999992 | $3.61 |
| 10-31 18:43 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 15:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6999999721 | $15.08 |
| 10-31 06:25 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.15 |