0x52eb1e57ca9fb6a7248b3b103794efc178afec36
0x52eb1e57ca9fb6a7248b3b103794efc178afec36
- Realised P&L
- $92.77
- Volume
- $36.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.17at 0.186Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.073Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$2.41at 0.079Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
- +$0.63at 0.135Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
- +$-0.87at 0.169Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:27 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.31 | $68.30 |
| 11-01 02:05 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $24.00 |
| 10-31 02:33 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.39 | $95.24 |
| 10-31 01:12 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.01 |
| 10-31 01:04 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $83.80 |
| 10-30 23:32 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.4366262319 | $71.77 |
| 10-30 23:12 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.291 | $59.95 |
| 10-30 22:57 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.41 |
| 10-30 22:35 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.256086891 | $50.99 |
| 10-30 22:22 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 10-30 19:26 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | BUY | 0.4205904093 | $139.63 |
| 10-30 17:32 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.5498329606 | $100.79 |
| 10-30 06:59 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.11 | $25.59 |
| 10-30 03:22 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.13 | $25.09 |
| 10-30 03:22 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.09 | $19.29 |