PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.37 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.10 to 0.47. 105 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11661661
0.121,8792,541
0.131,3303,871
0.141003,971
0.183144,284
0.199105,194
0.22205,215
0.232005,415
0.241725,586
0.255006,086
0.34236,109
0.35306,139

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.101,4871,487
0.096332,120
0.089953,116
0.07973,213
0.066133,826
0.054004,226
0.046324,858
0.036725,530
0.021,1626,692
0.01416,733

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.901,4871,487
0.916332,120
0.929953,116
0.93973,213
0.946133,826
0.954004,226
0.966324,858
0.976725,530
0.981,1626,692
0.99416,733

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89661661
0.881,8792,541
0.871,3303,871
0.861003,971
0.823144,284
0.819105,194
0.78205,215
0.772005,415
0.761725,586
0.755006,086
0.66236,109
0.65306,139

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes391.99
enri.hlYes315.04
JustfuuunYes100.2
SuperTestsYes95.8
lissartterYes61.08
youtube-traderYes40
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
AJSVYes26
GuyFromTinderYes25.2
pootytherewardfarmerYes24
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes22.92
misha-d1Yes20
FihdrzgddYes19.98
MajasYes10
wheathermanYes4
HDGBNo962.32
commeowderNo138.87
Ethereal008No66.09
tradetosurvive1No11
PPMTNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:02:30SELLYes0.141$4.10
13:22:21SELLNo0.892$1.58
07:05:15SELLNo0.8920$17.80
00:30:47BUYNo0.920$18.00
00:30:45BUYNo0.922$19.60
00:30:45BUYNo0.966$59.48
04:38:53BUYYes0.0960$5.40
04:20:14SELLNo0.8953$47.60
04:13:02BUYNo0.953$48.13
03:40:25SELLYes0.1125$2.77
03:17:15SELLYes0.1225$3.02
18:27:34SELLYes0.1214$1.68
16:50:56SELLNo0.852$1.56
14:05:01BUYYes0.12119$14.28
14:03:29SELLNo0.8845$39.60
14:02:55SELLNo0.835$4.15
14:02:55SELLNo0.835$4.15
14:02:38SELLNo0.766666666715$11.50
14:02:37SELLNo0.8415$12.60
14:02:31BUYNo0.861556161220$17.23
14:02:31BUYNo0.85999999423$2.96
14:02:31SELLNo0.85$4.00
14:02:31BUYNo0.78254623361,071$838.26
12:24:53BUYNo0.775$3.85
12:24:52BUYNo0.765$3.80