PolyBot

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Traders

Ethereal008

0xbf46dcd9b48eb65b8dd127da579ac80515ff7ecf

Realised P&L
$19.30
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$426.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9000.905$105.17+$0.58
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No0.8890.960$99.56+$7.28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8500.925$92.50+$7.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027? · No0.9000.895$59.15−$0.33
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9560.980$48.13+$1.15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? · No0.9000.988$21.93+$1.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 00:32Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?BUY0.9608873581$29.00
09-25 00:30Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?BUY0.9$59.48
09-25 00:28US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.9$104.59
09-21 20:10Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.36$11.29
08-09 02:31Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?BUY0.9399999877$29.03
07-26 13:37Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?SELL0.999$78.62
07-01 15:15Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?BUY0.991$78.00
06-14 15:23Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?SELL0.92$49.49
06-14 03:18Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9745640445$30.00
06-13 15:06Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8799999665$21.00
06-10 01:59Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?BUY0.9299999961$50.03
05-16 01:03Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9694464214$49.56
05-16 01:01Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?BUY0.8599999886$63.28
05-12 23:04Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.999$163.07
05-12 22:59Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.999$162.97