Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-20
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.119. down 0.101 over the period, from 0.220. Range 0.006 to 0.245. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.185	11	11
0.320	5	16
0.326	10	26
0.327	20	46
0.340	30	76
0.341	25	101
0.350	45	146
0.351	5	151
0.364	50	201
0.365	100	301
0.370	10	311
0.372	15	326

Spread0.132Mid0.119

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.053	19	19
0.052	300	319
0.051	10,000	10,319
0.035	22	10,341
0.030	789	11,130
0.018	28	11,158
0.005	20,000	31,158
0.003	7	31,165
0.002	5,210	36,375
0.001	291	36,666

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.947	19	19
0.948	300	319
0.949	10,000	10,319
0.965	22	10,341
0.970	789	11,130
0.982	28	11,158
0.995	20,000	31,158
0.997	7	31,165
0.998	5,210	36,375
0.999	291	36,666

Spread0.132Mid0.881

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.815	11	11
0.680	5	16
0.674	10	26
0.673	20	46
0.660	30	76
0.659	25	101
0.650	45	146
0.649	5	151
0.636	50	201
0.635	100	301
0.630	10	311
0.628	15	326

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Snoorrason	Yes	91.06
0x870a…6c6e	Yes	67
BKno95	Yes	40
a5533	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	20
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354	Yes	17
Haradwaith	Yes	13.9
0xaD6b5620c965A56A409b4D5bf9CaCAD71469f50D-1774881273863	Yes	7
0xa5ef…2966	No	168.91
Dutchland	No	60
0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395	No	28
cigarettes	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:18:28	BUY	Yes	0.035	7	$0.25
19:53:09	BUY	No	0.97	11	$10.63
15:13:04	BUY	Yes	0.03	25	$0.75
15:12:48	BUY	Yes	0.0230625	16	$0.37
04:09:09	BUY	Yes	0.02	17	$0.34
22:47:45	BUY	Yes	0.01	39	$0.39
15:34:10	BUY	Yes	0.003	67	$0.20
15:34:10	BUY	Yes	0.003	40	$0.12
13:48:37	BUY	No	0.99778	5	$4.99
13:48:37	BUY	No	0.998	13	$12.67
13:48:37	BUY	No	0.998	12	$11.98
13:48:37	BUY	No	0.997	9	$8.97
13:48:37	BUY	No	0.997	10	$9.87
13:42:34	BUY	No	0.998	23	$23.30
13:42:34	BUY	No	0.998	5	$4.99
12:46:54	BUY	No	0.95	42	$39.90
12:46:54	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.75
09:41:21	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.20