0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395
0xd1f4531dd0edfc4d5eb3c138d51f232eee597a37
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $242.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,877
- Open portfolio
- $445.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,877
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.80at 0.984Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$61.62at 0.936Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$23.47at 0.905Maduro out in 2025?
- +$14.80at 0.977Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$9.39at 0.872Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 23:09 | Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,249,000 and $1,259,000 on May 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 04-19 01:31 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $6.84 |
| 04-10 04:28 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.89 |
| 02-03 18:52 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 01-30 00:12 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.65 | $54.13 |
| 01-30 00:05 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.6005911378 | $50.00 |
| 01-17 11:01 | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.37 |
| 01-17 11:00 | US strike on Mexico by January 31? | SELL | 0.032 | $2.15 |
| 01-11 23:44 | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | SELL | 0.0569375 | $4.55 |
| 01-10 07:50 | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | SELL | 0.0302549778 | $4.15 |
| 01-06 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 01-06 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $2.81 |
| 01-06 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $2.33 |
| 01-06 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 01-06 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |