PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395

0xd1f4531dd0edfc4d5eb3c138d51f232eee597a37

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$247.5k
Markets traded
2,978
Open portfolio
$452.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,978
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 28 and 30 million views on day 2? · No0.9901.000$28.00+$0.28
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? · No0.9851.000$28.00+$0.43
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? · Yes0.9771.000$28.00+$0.65
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%? · No0.9770.998$27.94+$0.59
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 15? · No0.9720.957$26.78$0.43
Will Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai win the Falealili 1 by-election? · No0.9870.938$26.25$1.38
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? · No0.9720.883$24.72$2.49
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election? · No0.9610.866$24.23$2.67
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2? · No0.9931.000$21.00+$0.15
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? · Yes0.9541.000$21.00+$0.97
Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9540.987$20.72+$0.68
Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? · No0.9251.000$20.25+$1.52
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 143 and 147 seats after the 2026 election? · No0.9650.972$15.76+$0.11
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3? · Yes0.9911.000$14.00+$0.13
Will Polymarket be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · No0.9950.995$13.92+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 23:29Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.02$2.19
09-07 23:29EU dissolves before 2027?SELL0.01$0.94
09-07 23:29Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?SELL0.0050611368$0.75
09-07 23:29Will Venezuela become 51st state?SELL0.023$2.23
09-07 23:29Fed abolished before 2027?SELL0.0250789364$1.80
05-29 23:09Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,249,000 and $1,259,000 on May 31?BUY0.99$6.93
04-19 01:31Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?BUY0.979$6.84
04-10 04:28Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?BUY0.984$6.89
02-03 18:52Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY0.96$6.72
01-30 00:12US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.65$54.13
01-30 00:05US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.6005911378$50.00
01-17 11:01US strike on Cuba by January 31?SELL0.021$1.37
01-17 11:00US strike on Mexico by January 31?SELL0.032$2.15
01-11 23:44US strike on Cuba by January 31?SELL0.0569375$4.55
01-10 07:50US strike on Cuba by January 31?SELL0.0302549778$4.15