PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395

0xd1f4531dd0edfc4d5eb3c138d51f232eee597a37

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$242.8k
Markets traded
2,877
Open portfolio
$445.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,877
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? · No0.9881.000$35.00+$0.41
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026? · No0.9881.000$35.00+$0.41
Will Сириус be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? · No0.9661.000$35.00+$1.18
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County? · No0.9781.000$35.00+$0.76
Will Iván Cepeda win more than 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? · No0.9831.000$28.00+$0.48
Will Planet Fitness be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? · No0.9531.000$25.71+$1.21
Will John Thompson Parker advance from the CA-37 primary election? · No0.9491.000$22.94+$1.17
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 12? · Yes0.9961.000$14.00+$0.06
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? · No0.9931.000$14.00+$0.10
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? · No0.9251.000$14.00+$1.05
Will Sonia Kacker advance from the CA-26 primary election? · No0.9781.000$14.00+$0.31
Will Orinats Yerkir win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? · No0.9961.000$14.00+$0.06
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.9151.000$14.00+$1.19
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? · No0.9901.000$13.31+$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? · No0.9901.000$8.98+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 23:09Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,249,000 and $1,259,000 on May 31?BUY0.99$6.93
04-19 01:31Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?BUY0.979$6.84
04-10 04:28Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?BUY0.984$6.89
02-03 18:52Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY0.96$6.72
01-30 00:12US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.65$54.13
01-30 00:05US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.6005911378$50.00
01-17 11:01US strike on Cuba by January 31?SELL0.021$1.37
01-17 11:00US strike on Mexico by January 31?SELL0.032$2.15
01-11 23:44US strike on Cuba by January 31?SELL0.0569375$4.55
01-10 07:50US strike on Cuba by January 31?SELL0.0302549778$4.15
01-06 23:43Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.95$4.75
01-06 23:42Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.94$2.81
01-06 23:42Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.78$2.33
01-06 23:41Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.88$4.40
01-06 23:41Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.86$4.30