Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.040. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.032 to 0.055. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.045	29	29
0.046	103	132
0.047	6	139
0.048	906	1,044
0.049	3,003	4,048
0.050	11,004	15,052
0.060	1,392	16,444
0.070	5,866	22,310
0.080	11,011	33,321
0.090	500	33,821
0.100	20	33,841
0.120	100	33,941

Spread0.010Mid0.040

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	8	8
0.034	25	33
0.033	149	181
0.032	450	632
0.031	1,019	1,651
0.030	16,602	18,253
0.020	9,814	28,067
0.013	22	28,089
0.012	4,133	32,223
0.011	4,344	36,566
0.010	216,505	253,071
0.009	7,926	260,997

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	8	8
0.966	25	33
0.967	149	181
0.968	450	632
0.969	1,019	1,651
0.970	16,602	18,253
0.980	9,814	28,067
0.987	22	28,089
0.988	4,133	32,223
0.989	4,344	36,566
0.990	216,505	253,071
0.991	7,926	260,997

Spread0.010Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.955	29	29
0.954	103	132
0.953	6	139
0.952	906	1,044
0.951	3,003	4,048
0.950	11,004	15,052
0.940	1,392	16,444
0.930	5,866	22,310
0.920	11,011	33,321
0.910	500	33,821
0.900	20	33,841
0.880	100	33,941

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	70,937.57
0x8973b817F9b946b8C9D5a328e347eD1629B6dA21	Yes	25,978.5
vsesoso	Yes	19,222.69
whysoslow	Yes	18,333.31
Muookjh	Yes	14,454.79
UniversalCarrier	Yes	13,690.95
inrock30	Yes	11,860
Dmit	Yes	9,224.2
meagainsttheworld	Yes	7,000
xyz9999	Yes	5,390.67
FantomasAzul	Yes	4,997.12
Prince998877	Yes	4,679.44
0x26201e9fFacf2929e8C597635f81e9E126F378f5-1734108582669	Yes	4,266.97
SITIFUKUDZIN	Yes	3,420.55
nketiah17	Yes	3,404.55
0x7Ee7B7fe80641bE006601Fce0D43D0CD0A5517b0-1772646139842	Yes	3,057.8
Yosharooo	Yes	3,005.05
MrBauer	Yes	2,536.74
e.tensor	Yes	2,500
0x41024EfB59D2C45900023CEE2c51000bFA1Ad397-1768061326254	Yes	2,373.35

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:09:31	BUY	No	0.9664814815	50	$48.28
17:52:46	BUY	No	0.968999998	3	$2.90
17:52:43	BUY	No	0.97	30	$28.85
17:52:39	BUY	Yes	0.0394206932	2,537	$100.00
15:44:55	SELL	No	0.966	9	$8.78
12:22:07	BUY	Yes	0.04	65	$2.59
12:22:07	BUY	No	0.96	160	$153.26
12:21:30	SELL	No	0.95	65	$61.65
12:21:18	SELL	No	0.95	2	$1.99
12:21:16	SELL	No	0.95	1	$1.03
12:21:07	BUY	No	0.97	1,349	$1308.53
12:15:36	BUY	No	0.96	116	$111.62
09:45:54	BUY	No	0.96	200	$192.00
07:24:40	BUY	No	0.96	100	$96.00
23:20:18	BUY	No	0.96	8	$7.68
19:05:21	SELL	No	0.95	5	$4.80
19:04:52	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.85
17:01:01	BUY	No	0.96	1,159	$1112.98
12:00:33	SELL	Yes	0.04	56	$2.22
06:12:19	SELL	No	0.95	1	$1.04
20:52:07	SELL	Yes	0.04	17	$0.67
17:45:58	SELL	No	0.95	156	$148.20
17:44:58	SELL	No	0.95	1,000	$950.00
14:47:35	SELL	No	0.95	3	$2.85
14:31:02	BUY	Yes	0.04	84	$3.36