Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.06 to 0.07. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	499	499
0.07	10,126	10,625
0.08	9,207	19,831
0.09	1,041	20,872
0.10	650	21,522
0.12	1,600	23,122
0.13	300	23,422
0.14	65	23,487
0.15	1,075	24,562
0.16	255	24,817
0.17	2,420	27,237
0.18	2,122	29,359

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	31,270	31,270
0.04	34,487	65,756
0.03	4,939	70,696
0.02	6,774	77,469
0.01	214,531	292,000

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	31,270	31,270
0.96	34,487	65,756
0.97	4,939	70,696
0.98	6,774	77,469
0.99	214,531	292,000

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	499	499
0.93	10,126	10,625
0.92	9,207	19,831
0.91	1,041	20,872
0.90	650	21,522
0.88	1,600	23,122
0.87	300	23,422
0.86	65	23,487
0.85	1,075	24,562
0.84	255	24,817
0.83	2,420	27,237
0.82	2,122	29,359

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	70,937.57
whysoslow	Yes	18,333.31
UniversalCarrier	Yes	14,620.78
xyz9999	Yes	10,781.34
Dmit	Yes	9,224.2
inrock30	Yes	7,485.11
meagainsttheworld	Yes	7,000
vsesoso	Yes	6,279.97
mehanizator	Yes	5,299.96
0x26201e9fFacf2929e8C597635f81e9E126F378f5-1734108582669	Yes	4,266.97
SITIFUKUDZIN	Yes	3,420.55
0x7Ee7B7fe80641bE006601Fce0D43D0CD0A5517b0-1772646139842	Yes	3,057.8
e.tensor	Yes	2,500
nketiah17	Yes	2,454.55
0xb24c…1781	Yes	2,171.01
Jacksontye	Yes	2,124
Lucasq	Yes	1,946
0x8cc21C6ac286409D24Dad291Ac50D86339b264dE-1774538885082	Yes	1,886.67
evalso	Yes	1,813.66
makanmakan	Yes	1,639.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:28:34	BUY	Yes	0.0599999988	17	$1.00
02:07:10	BUY	Yes	0.0599999999	333	$20.00
01:10:25	SELL	No	0.94	8	$7.52
08:17:22	BUY	No	0.9499999991	211	$200.00
15:33:39	BUY	Yes	0.0699999965	14	$1.00
13:30:15	SELL	Yes	0.06	13,327	$799.59
05:29:45	BUY	No	0.9399999981	11	$10.00
01:20:37	BUY	No	0.9399999624	1	$1.00
21:28:39	SELL	No	0.93	29	$26.69
17:31:36	BUY	No	0.9399999624	1	$1.00
15:15:54	SELL	No	0.93	100	$93.00
09:43:27	SELL	No	0.93	65	$59.99
09:10:27	SELL	No	0.93	100	$93.00
06:44:52	SELL	No	0.93	100	$93.00
16:50:15	SELL	No	0.93	100	$93.00
05:10:31	SELL	No	0.93	114	$105.68
21:13:09	SELL	No	0.93	11	$10.00
18:38:54	SELL	Yes	0.06	5	$0.30
07:59:24	SELL	Yes	0.06	1,143	$68.57
07:53:46	BUY	Yes	0.0699999998	214	$15.00
06:00:16	BUY	No	0.94	350	$329.00
00:26:00	BUY	No	0.9399999991	21	$20.00
12:27:15	SELL	Yes	0.06	1,938	$116.25
04:00:28	SELL	No	0.93	15	$13.95
18:18:46	SELL	No	0.93	193	$179.49