Muookjh
0xc98b4c87cbaf4dd46e147bb7fea58845be4ac581
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $241.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $578.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.040 | $578.19 | −$921.80 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · Natus Vincere | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$515.87 |
| Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.85 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 18? · No | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.88 |
| Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-03-13? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.99 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.244US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$532.80at 0.600Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$253.00at 0.830Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$173.40at 0.238Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
- +$116.82at 0.230US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:57 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1037718395 | $1.5k |
| 06-11 19:41 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.1935480288 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 09:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0530207131 | $38.40 |
| 05-29 00:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1380859345 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 18:27 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL | 0.17 | $677.45 |
| 05-23 16:04 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 05-21 17:36 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | BUY | 0.18 | $43.92 |
| 05-21 17:19 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL | 0.1515874865 | $610.20 |
| 05-21 02:11 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | BUY | 0.2544892388 | $500.00 |
| 05-21 02:09 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | BUY | 0.2426354794 | $500.00 |
| 03-15 14:44 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0259292063 | $16.66 |
| 03-15 14:43 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.025 | $84.78 |
| 03-15 14:35 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0495820039 | $200.00 |
| 03-13 12:51 | Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-03-13? | BUY | 0.0326729682 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 07:12 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.9479563336 | $5.0k |