PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xyz9999

0x49b306b0c083ebf5230dce5b151ecfaf63f06486

Realised P&L
$-99.5k
Volume
$2.80M
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$37.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3420.415$35.0k+$6.1k
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1160.085$2.8k$1.0k
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0070.005$92.69$34.95
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.8460.000$0.00$27.5k
Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No0.1900.000$0.00$475.00
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$9.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 18:29Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$3.05
07-19 10:21Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.08$0.80
07-15 12:30Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.08$4.46
07-13 14:21Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$6.10
07-03 11:14Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$2.98
07-02 10:40Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$5.83
06-30 09:08Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.08$2.84
06-29 13:59Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$5.65
06-27 10:03Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.08$2.77
06-26 11:41Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$2.75
06-24 13:13Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$2.75
06-23 12:23Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$2.75
06-22 12:26Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$3.70
06-21 11:50Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
06-20 14:13Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1$8.17