nketiah17
0x6715731230a313d50bac855d51bc4f131defeb49
- Realised P&L
- $-635.11
- Volume
- $251.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,800
- Open portfolio
- $135.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,800
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.055 | $135.00 | −$77.67 |
| Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.003 | $0.03 | −$5.42 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.004 | $0.02 | −$2.98 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$2.99 |
| Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.44 |
| Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.44 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.48at 0.061Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$146.59at 0.089Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$145.87at 0.660Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
- +$105.07at 0.652Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$88.39at 0.691Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 17:37 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0813356 | $162.67 |
| 06-09 19:43 | Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.12 | $0.84 |
| 06-09 12:43 | Rainbow Six Siege: Arcade Esports vs 6Targets Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-08 15:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.84 |
| 06-08 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.01155 | $0.35 |
| 06-08 15:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.07 |
| 06-08 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.59 |
| 06-08 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.55 |
| 06-07 15:27 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $0.39 |
| 06-07 15:27 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | BUY | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 06-07 13:10 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-07 09:31 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.039 | $0.94 |
| 06-07 08:55 | Rainbow Six Siege: TYLOO vs Kingzone (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage | BUY | 0.005 | $0.19 |
| 06-07 08:46 | Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | BUY | 0.11 | $1.02 |
| 06-07 08:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.15 |