PolyBot

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Will Rachel peak at Category 1 or weaker?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. down 0.38 over the period, from 0.41. Range 0.04 to 0.41. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.062020
0.085171
0.1057128
0.1328156
0.1430186
0.1589275
0.1720295
0.1920314
0.2445359
0.2520379
0.2658437
0.4250487

Spread0.05Mid0.03

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01139139

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99139139

Spread0.05Mid0.96

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.942020
0.925171
0.9057128
0.8728156
0.8630186
0.8589275
0.8320295
0.8120314
0.7645359
0.7520379
0.7458437
0.5850487

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
2B9SYes270.46
S888Yes249.57
AJSVYes184.17
erFiodenaYes152.68
LovelyPandaYes89
Numitus1994Yes83
tradetosurvive1Yes61.18
pootytherewardfarmerYes40.79
romanew-1-newYes27.82
FutiandidaYes20
SpringlyFawlYes19.74
bjproloYes10
0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195Yes9
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
e46m3Yes1.88
0xa5ef…2966No476.14
alpha-bondsNo340.1
theta-thunbergNo130.83
TODD2012No120
cigarettesNo51.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:07:24BUYNo0.9932$31.68
09:04:21SELLYes0.0101100$1.01
09:00:59SELLYes0.0250$1.00
00:11:47BUYNo0.9521$19.83
18:49:51BUYNo0.9410$9.40
18:49:51BUYNo0.9440$37.60
16:04:11BUYNo0.9799776354246$241.00
10:22:27BUYNo0.969939796860$58.00
10:22:21BUYNo0.9634$33.00
09:56:09SELLYes0.0410$0.40
08:56:30BUYNo0.963$3.13
08:55:44BUYNo0.967$6.72
08:55:44BUYNo0.9610$9.60
04:38:00BUYYes0.1329$3.77
01:00:29SELLYes0.093$0.27
00:39:24SELLYes0.0920$1.80
00:24:50BUYNo0.90727225$22.68
23:44:30BUYNo0.93$2.71
23:43:12BUYNo0.917$15.29
23:36:06BUYNo0.920$18.00
21:01:59BUYNo0.8944316667120$107.33
18:47:17BUYNo0.8910$8.90
17:50:38BUYYes0.201894322736$7.18
16:17:57BUYNo0.8207131392131$107.37
14:43:15BUYNo0.8120$16.20