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Traders

theta-thunberg

0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7

Realised P&L
$64.5k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
936
Open portfolio
$20.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded936
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · No0.0960.865$8.2k+$7.3k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8700.895$3.5k+$98.22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2970.260$2.2k$311.16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.405$1.8k$431.50
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.3920.695$624.74+$272.39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.535$561.15+$5.24
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes0.6330.830$536.49+$127.49
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · No0.6280.995$463.55+$170.70
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.195$390.00$10.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.029$295.00+$45.00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4100.225$258.28$212.58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.125$208.67$75.12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1040.034$201.00$422.97
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9330.990$160.72+$9.18
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.130$130.00$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:40No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0799994247$1.4k
09-16 19:36Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0329818053$72.89
09-16 16:09Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.2963914642$1.3k
09-15 18:00Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.5110955475$26.75
09-15 16:36Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.333164672$965.96
09-15 13:57Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6188297602$925.41
09-15 09:43Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.029690376$21.87
09-15 09:21NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$283.79
09-15 09:08Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?BUY0.053$4.53
09-15 09:08Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?BUY0.0397841549$9.97
09-15 09:07Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?BUY0.0566109901$9.10
09-15 09:07Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?BUY0.0778361994$25.17
09-15 09:07Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.041097225$4.18
09-15 09:07Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.056439658$20.73
09-15 09:07Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.0858263474$79.10