theta-thunberg
0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7
- Realised P&L
- $47.6k
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Markets traded
- 868
- Open portfolio
- $16.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded868
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.690Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
- +$3.2kat 0.240Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$2.3kat 0.160ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
- +$2.2kat 0.758Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.599Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:10 | Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $333.30 |
| 08-02 19:02 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.8366857586 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 19:01 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $657.97 |
| 08-02 19:01 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | BUY | 0.4875255066 | $446.50 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.1k |
| 08-02 18:59 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.2804026084 | $603.28 |
| 08-02 18:56 | Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.4967188686 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 18:54 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.295743319 | $841.83 |
| 08-02 18:53 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.0741902358 | $472.56 |
| 08-02 18:52 | Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9366483957 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 18:48 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.129969997 | $433.19 |
| 08-02 16:09 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.617207276 | $232.77 |
| 08-02 16:09 | Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1883455735 | $56.42 |