PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

theta-thunberg

0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7

Realised P&L
$47.6k
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
868
Open portfolio
$16.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded868
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.8250.895$3.0k+$234.94
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31? · No0.7470.977$2.2k+$528.90
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? · Yes0.8370.875$2.1k+$93.32
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · Yes0.6000.615$1.7k+$42.95
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.4970.488$1.4k$24.81
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.9370.981$1.2k+$53.55
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.2960.305$868.18+$26.35
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31? · No0.8440.995$842.39+$127.85
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.2800.335$720.74+$117.47
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? · Yes0.4870.586$536.68+$90.19
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.4601.000$496.45+$268.16
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.7900.665$332.50$62.50
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.4070.606$179.90+$58.82
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? · No0.0810.129$124.03+$45.96
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? · Yes0.4170.345$118.92$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:10Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?SELL0.001$0.33
08-02 19:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.1$333.30
08-02 19:02Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?BUY0.8366857586$2.0k
08-02 19:01Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.84$657.97
08-02 19:01Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BUY0.4875255066$446.50
08-02 19:00Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.82$2.1k
08-02 18:59Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.2804026084$603.28
08-02 18:56Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.4967188686$1.4k
08-02 18:54Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.295743319$841.83
08-02 18:53Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?SELL0.0741902358$472.56
08-02 18:52Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9366483957$1.1k
08-02 18:48Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?SELL0.15$2.40
08-02 16:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.129969997$433.19
08-02 16:09Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.617207276$232.77
08-02 16:09Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1883455735$56.42