theta-thunberg
0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7
- Realised P&L
- $64.5k
- Volume
- $2.06M
- Markets traded
- 936
- Open portfolio
- $20.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded936
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.690Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
- +$3.6kat 0.0710 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$3.2kat 0.240Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$2.1kat 0.200ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
- +$2.0kat 0.765Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:40 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0799994247 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 19:36 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0329818053 | $72.89 |
| 09-16 16:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.2963914642 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 18:00 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5110955475 | $26.75 |
| 09-15 16:36 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.333164672 | $965.96 |
| 09-15 13:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6188297602 | $925.41 |
| 09-15 09:43 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.029690376 | $21.87 |
| 09-15 09:21 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $283.79 |
| 09-15 09:08 | Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.053 | $4.53 |
| 09-15 09:08 | Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0397841549 | $9.97 |
| 09-15 09:07 | Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0566109901 | $9.10 |
| 09-15 09:07 | Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0778361994 | $25.17 |
| 09-15 09:07 | Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.041097225 | $4.18 |
| 09-15 09:07 | Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.056439658 | $20.73 |
| 09-15 09:07 | Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0858263474 | $79.10 |