PolyBot

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Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.031. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.037. Range 0.031 to 0.048. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03666
0.0444046
0.045485530
0.046376907
0.0804571,363
0.0901,0002,363
0.175502,413
0.37452,418
0.3759603,378
0.5059604,338
0.5871,3445,682
0.5889506,632

Spread0.010Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0266565
0.025427492
0.0231,3781,870
0.010111,880
0.006491,929
0.0054022,330
0.0043582,688
0.0036993,387
0.0022,6846,071
0.0014,99811,069

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9746565
0.975427492
0.9771,3781,870
0.990111,880
0.994491,929
0.9954022,330
0.9963582,688
0.9976993,387
0.9982,6846,071
0.9994,99811,069

Spread0.010Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96466
0.9564046
0.955485530
0.954376907
0.9204571,363
0.9101,0002,363
0.825502,413
0.62652,418
0.6259603,378
0.4959604,338
0.4131,3445,682
0.4129506,632

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DonPanicYes4,378.12
srmiiieYes3,788.07
professorlimYes1,825.36
chumpskyYes500
0xee67…67a6Yes484.56
sarevokYes400
Dr.PNLYes366.3
0xa873c2eB6C228e03C747394A4C439fDaF7dE6b47-1768305008262Yes305.62
thecaricatureYes300
LornaPredictsYes283.01
xtxpleasecallmeYes238.04
AnjunYes146.99
Biver52Yes125
Nivoh12Yes100
HerrieDavisYes98.96
M5anYes66.67
tinman2Yes50
ora.io-PolyValoryYes41.66
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.Yes40
TPAAYes40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:37:07BUYYes0.0459999997124$5.69
03:11:53SELLYes0.0243579098112$2.72
07:01:24SELLNo0.9646326100$96.46
12:26:15BUYNo0.975410$400.00
01:14:50SELLYes0.025938048841$1.06
17:35:24SELLNo0.96514336871,698$1638.81
00:59:00BUYYes0.02630$0.78
00:57:24SELLYes0.021100$2.10
00:57:11SELLYes0.021100$2.10
12:10:09SELLNo0.9670$0.01
12:10:09SELLYes0.0210$0.00
12:05:58SELLNo0.96676720$19.34
21:44:29SELLYes0.0213809923119$2.55
21:47:17SELLYes0.02199$2.08
12:05:26BUYNo0.979300$293.70
11:10:35BUYNo0.97830$29.34
11:10:24BUYNo0.975206$200.98
18:32:50SELLNo0.96711$10.28
03:34:31SELLNo0.96311$10.28
14:18:40SELLNo0.9637$7.01
09:38:17SELLNo0.9651$1.27
10:20:58SELLYes0.0250$1.00
10:14:44SELLYes0.0293$1.86
01:32:48SELLNo0.9636$5.66
15:30:25BUYNo0.9785375723173$169.29