ora.io-PolyValory
0xc79640c0800e1d17026c5c59fd4b913e49d93e82
- Realised P&L
- $-36.47
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $82.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.298Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
- +$1.67at 0.748Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$0.76at 0.865SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
- +$0.73at 0.870US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.880Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 00:30 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.68 |
| 09-10 00:30 | Will the announcers say "Fumble" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game? | BUY | 0.7803288201 | $4.03 |
| 09-09 00:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.18 |
| 09-09 00:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.51 |
| 07-30 00:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.0594023881 | $0.99 |
| 07-27 00:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.21 |
| 07-27 00:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.06 |
| 07-26 00:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.61 |
| 07-25 00:30 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.75 |
| 07-24 00:30 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.591 | $4.91 |
| 07-20 00:30 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.922 | $4.94 |
| 07-20 00:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.89 |
| 07-20 00:30 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.95 |
| 07-19 00:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.47 |
| 07-17 00:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.93 |