0xa873c2eB6C228e03C747394A4C439fDaF7dE6b47-1768305008262
0xa873c2eb6c228e03c747394a4c439fdaf7de6b47
- Realised P&L
- $-138.34
- Volume
- $80.4k
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $62.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.91at 0.213Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$86.29at 0.048Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
- +$64.89at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$56.78at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?
- +$49.66at 0.059Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:28 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.299999976 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 20:28 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.50 |
| 09-12 16:28 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.0989999971 | $2.50 |
| 09-11 10:28 | Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $2.50 |
| 09-11 01:42 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.30 |
| 09-10 06:28 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $2.50 |
| 09-10 04:28 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $2.50 |
| 09-03 02:28 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.2830151129 | $2.50 |
| 09-03 02:28 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.2099999496 | $2.50 |
| 09-01 02:28 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.1494023426 | $2.50 |
| 08-31 14:28 | Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.0239999908 | $2.50 |
| 08-31 06:28 | Will "Tires: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.3160328856 | $2.50 |
| 08-30 00:38 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.4699999831 | $2.50 |
| 08-30 00:08 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.4699999831 | $2.50 |
| 08-29 11:08 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.4199999698 | $2.50 |