PolyBot

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Traders

DonPanic

0x50b242e0b9ac75359464c5b3be62ad6b42d8c94a

Realised P&L
$10.5k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
1,821
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,821
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6170.600$2.1k$58.48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.2420.125$1.4k$1.3k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4660.335$1.2k$458.82
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9090.890$623.35$12.85
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8840.931$607.84+$31.08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.4100.275$453.82$222.62
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7050.765$382.50+$30.00
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yes0.8700.875$262.50+$1.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.6850.825$247.49+$42.00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · Yes0.0880.055$240.80$144.88
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.4020.150$211.05$353.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1250.120$206.56$9.41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.3510.355$189.09+$2.25
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.2300.125$183.96$154.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.8010.909$181.80+$21.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:16Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.66$136.71
09-17 10:29US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?BUY0.15$6.00
09-17 10:08Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?SELL0.008$3.05
09-15 16:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.1279427273$56.29
09-14 21:23Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6$159.60
09-14 08:17Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.55$12.65
09-13 22:03Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.57$94.62
09-13 21:50Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.566294714$376.46
09-13 21:46Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.59$16.54
09-13 14:24Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.75$37.50
09-12 22:24Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.86$130.44
09-12 16:53US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?BUY0.05$17.96
09-12 16:21Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.3$25.80
09-12 16:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.13$195.00
09-12 14:33Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?BUY0.88$13.20