PolyBot

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Traders

DonPanic

0x50b242e0b9ac75359464c5b3be62ad6b42d8c94a

Realised P&L
$13.9k
Volume
$1.95M
Markets traded
1,835
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,835
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.2430.185$1.7k−$540.81
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6090.421$1.6k−$735.65
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$756.00+$28.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1800.115$230.00−$130.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.135$202.50+$28.50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.4100.115$189.78−$486.66
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.2200.095$154.80−$204.45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes0.0740.029$140.05−$224.78
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · Yes0.0880.031$135.72−$249.96
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2000.255$127.50+$27.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3500.275$110.00−$30.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1160.055$82.51−$91.79
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1440.035$60.38−$192.12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.285$57.00+$25.00
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1410.021$32.70−$187.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 20:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.998$200.60
10-06 12:11Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.664$66.41
10-06 12:07Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.662$22.89
10-06 11:36Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.91$182.00
09-29 16:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.18$90.00
09-28 15:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.987$394.80
09-28 15:58US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$65.00
09-25 11:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$65.00
09-24 11:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.84$294.00
09-22 10:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.69$110.98
09-22 10:34Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.69$130.18
09-17 17:16Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.66$136.71
09-17 10:29US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?BUY0.15$6.00
09-17 10:08Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?SELL0.008$3.05
09-15 16:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.1279427273$56.29