username-is-not-taken
0x2d274e6bffb78ab4b64fc1e00a59ee47b5e68cc0
- Realised P&L
- $642.99
- Volume
- $271.1k
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $4.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.674Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.634Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.745Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$506.18at 0.747Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
- +$440.37at 0.747Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 19:06 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.009 | $6.02 |
| 04-29 19:05 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? | SELL | 0.0051088001 | $5.51 |
| 04-29 18:56 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.9312282704 | $106.07 |
| 04-19 16:19 | Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.0741492748 | $2.10 |
| 04-19 16:19 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.769 | $3.38 |
| 04-19 14:18 | Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.11 |
| 04-19 14:12 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.62 |
| 04-19 14:02 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 04-19 14:02 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.809 | $7.28 |
| 04-19 14:02 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.17 | $14.28 |
| 04-19 14:02 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8098100694 | $69.97 |
| 04-19 13:53 | Will White House post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.03 |
| 04-19 13:53 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $8.97 |
| 04-19 13:53 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.976195122 | $19.96 |
| 04-19 13:51 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.69 |