PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

username-is-not-taken

0x2d274e6bffb78ab4b64fc1e00a59ee47b5e68cc0

Realised P&L
$642.99
Volume
$271.1k
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$4.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.007$1.23$86.77
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? · Yes0.5000.009$0.58$29.92
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.005$0.44$39.56
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.002$0.36$118.14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%? · Yes0.5000.005$0.30$30.20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? · Yes0.5000.004$0.27$30.23
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4990.002$0.18$58.98
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.12$118.38
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.12$118.38
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.12$118.38
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? · Yes0.5000.002$0.09$30.41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes0.5000.002$0.09$30.41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? · Yes0.5000.002$0.09$30.41
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.06$59.19
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.06$59.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-29 19:06Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.009$6.02
04-29 19:05Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?SELL0.0051088001$5.51
04-29 18:56Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.9312282704$106.07
04-19 16:19Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.0741492748$2.10
04-19 16:19Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?SELL0.769$3.38
04-19 14:18Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?BUY0.31$2.11
04-19 14:12Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.08$1.62
04-19 14:02Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.17$1.19
04-19 14:02Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.809$7.28
04-19 14:02Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.17$14.28
04-19 14:02Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.8098100694$69.97
04-19 13:53Will White House post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.55$11.03
04-19 13:53Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.45$8.97
04-19 13:53Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.976195122$19.96
04-19 13:51Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.038$3.69