PolyBot

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Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.048. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.049. Range 0.036 to 0.050. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0885252
0.090101153
0.10640193
0.10713206
0.22385291
0.684195486
0.685135621
0.68925646
0.74040686
0.988127813
0.9894001,213
0.99051,218

Spread0.080Mid0.048

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0083535
0.00768103
0.00610113
0.005100213
0.004120333
0.003200533
0.002205738
0.00115753

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9923535
0.99368103
0.99410113
0.995100213
0.996120333
0.997200533
0.998205738
0.99915753

Spread0.080Mid0.952

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9125252
0.910101153
0.89440193
0.89313206
0.77785291
0.316195486
0.315135621
0.31125646
0.26040686
0.012127813
0.0114001,213
0.01051,218

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
11B7c7e5D961Yes390.67
AJSVYes299.19
Numitus1994Yes101.73
2B9SYes64.6
AndrewDelphYes25
HaradwaithYes17.1
smallreceiptYes8
GuyFromTinderYes6.06
pppnnYes2.5
0xa5ef…2966No893.72
cigarettesNo20
0x539b…c64fNo1.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:11:44BUYNo0.99310$9.93
05:58:19BUYNo0.99310$9.93
05:56:55BUYNo0.99310$9.93
05:56:53BUYNo0.99063610$9.91
05:50:38BUYNo0.9910$9.90
05:50:37BUYNo0.9910$9.90
05:50:37BUYNo0.9920$19.80
05:45:59BUYNo0.9910$9.90
05:45:59BUYNo0.998$7.92
05:45:19BUYNo0.9930$29.70
05:45:19BUYNo0.9910$9.90
05:27:20BUYNo0.991$1.12
05:24:43BUYNo0.9910$9.90
05:24:41BUYNo0.9911$10.89
05:24:41BUYNo0.9952$51.51
05:24:38BUYNo0.991$1.11
05:24:38BUYNo0.9922$21.78
05:24:37BUYNo0.9910$9.90
05:24:37BUYNo0.9920$19.80
05:24:37BUYNo0.992$1.81
05:24:37BUYNo0.9910$9.90
13:39:05BUYNo0.9910$9.90
04:03:47BUYNo0.9910$9.90
04:03:47BUYNo0.9910$9.90
09:51:03BUYNo0.9920$19.80