PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x539b87c0790b98fd96f9fd3009975d299f8cc64f

0x539b87c0790b98fd96f9fd3009975d299f8cc64f

Realised P&L
$74.82
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
1,278
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,278
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · No0.9290.930$148.13+$0.10
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9500.955$117.27+$0.61
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.935$101.35+$5.96
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.963$92.60+$3.13
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8100.885$89.56+$7.59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7700.938$83.81+$15.01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8800.905$72.77+$2.01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.705$59.65+$12.27
Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8400.805$56.42−$2.45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? · No0.9890.974$29.98−$0.47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8190.379$29.87−$34.67
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election? · No0.9720.977$29.83+$0.15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9960.997$25.17+$0.01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9960.997$25.16+$0.01
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · No0.8920.925$24.15+$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 15:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 16?BUY0.9299999816$1.01
10-14 15:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 16?BUY0.999$1.11
10-14 15:05Will Blue and White win 2-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9969999991$1.11
10-14 15:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 16?BUY0.984$1.21
10-14 15:05Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?BUY0.9969999984$1.22
10-14 15:05Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?BUY0.9199999671$1.12
10-14 15:00Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?BUY0.9$1.21
10-14 14:55Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.9219999648$1.52
10-14 14:55Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.998$1.65
10-14 14:35Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.998$1.01
10-14 14:35Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.997$1.01
10-14 14:35Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.995$1.00
10-13 21:53Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round?BUY0.998$1.01
10-13 21:53Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 15?BUY0.999$1.01
10-13 21:53Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 15?BUY0.999$1.01