0x539b87c0790b98fd96f9fd3009975d299f8cc64f
0x539b87c0790b98fd96f9fd3009975d299f8cc64f
- Realised P&L
- $74.82
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,278
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,278
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.36at 0.040Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$115.56at 0.326Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$101.41at 0.440Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$64.12at 0.651Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$53.20at 0.691Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9299999816 | $1.01 |
| 10-14 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.11 |
| 10-14 15:05 | Will Blue and White win 2-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.11 |
| 10-14 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.21 |
| 10-14 15:05 | Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.22 |
| 10-14 15:05 | Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%? | BUY | 0.9199999671 | $1.12 |
| 10-14 15:00 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.21 |
| 10-14 14:55 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9219999648 | $1.52 |
| 10-14 14:55 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.65 |
| 10-14 14:35 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 10-14 14:35 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.01 |
| 10-14 14:35 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:53 | Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 10-13 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 10-13 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |