PolyBot

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Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.08. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.089090
0.0961151
0.11120272
0.2585357
0.26109466
0.3020486
0.3190576
0.3525601
0.3650651
0.3725676
0.43100776
0.4425801

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07110110
0.06170280
0.0520300
0.039801,280
0.01211,301

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93110110
0.94170280
0.9520300
0.979801,280
0.99211,301

Spread0.01Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.929090
0.9161151
0.89120272
0.7585357
0.74109466
0.7020486
0.6990576
0.6525601
0.6450651
0.6325676
0.57100776
0.5625801

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x9996…bda1Yes181.08
LongShot-LouieYes166.07
wantbehappyYes60
a5533Yes50
GingerMcKennaYes45
AJSVYes33.61
0x92Dcf851EbA53Bc192CBC659e28C2CE9BB665503-1770991727368Yes18.18
degens9Yes10
tilazczzYes10
Mojito9Yes1.03
0xa5ef…2966No435.53
marcopolosrhinoNo59.9
kitty07No40
0x47Fb5C7426883312FE1D21D833026B2b02814D63-1761653520381No21
vAIctorNo10
GenaTheBondKilIerNo7.71
0x0a8e…05a4No1.21

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:29:22BUYNo0.910$9.00
01:57:39BUYNo0.90031262486$5.00
01:26:48BUYNo0.9116$14.92
01:26:48BUYNo0.9113$11.65
19:02:55BUYNo0.9220$18.40
19:02:55BUYNo0.9240$36.80
12:08:22BUYYes0.109999995118$2.00
12:09:03SELLYes0.090$0.04
04:27:24BUYNo0.9254$50.00
17:28:03SELLYes0.085$0.40
17:27:51BUYNo0.915$4.55
17:13:04BUYNo0.915$4.55
05:54:39BUYNo0.9226$23.92
05:22:16BUYNo0.918$7.28
05:16:21BUYNo0.910$9.00
19:19:04BUYNo0.903710$9.04
19:19:04BUYNo0.95$4.50
18:57:34BUYNo0.95$4.50
01:02:48BUYYes0.1104504493181$20.00
00:51:30BUYNo0.925$4.60
16:06:36BUYNo0.924$3.56
16:06:34BUYNo0.9210$9.20
05:34:42BUYYes0.0927$2.45
05:19:36BUYYes0.0993$8.34
02:54:52BUYNo0.8852$45.79