PolyBot

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Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.69. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.79. Range 0.67 to 0.79. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.691,1081,108
0.701541,262
0.711,0502,312
0.72802,392
0.731002,492
0.743082,800
0.752003,000
0.769643,964
0.771,3635,327
0.781,7747,101
0.797,54314,643
0.804,48919,133

Spread0.01Mid0.69

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6860,04560,045
0.6749660,540
0.6613660,676
0.651,42362,099
0.643862,137
0.634862,185
0.6213962,324
0.6119062,514
0.601,21963,733
0.581,00064,733
0.57564,738
0.5610064,838

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3260,04560,045
0.3349660,540
0.3413660,676
0.351,42362,099
0.363862,137
0.374862,185
0.3813962,324
0.3919062,514
0.401,21963,733
0.421,00064,733
0.43564,738
0.4410064,838

Spread0.01Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.311,1081,108
0.301541,262
0.291,0502,312
0.28802,392
0.271002,492
0.263082,800
0.252003,000
0.249643,964
0.231,3635,327
0.221,7747,101
0.217,54314,643
0.204,48919,133

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xfree-moneyYes174,422.26
CptradeYes30,080
VibeyQuantYes14,999.61
HerrieDavisYes12,624.57
gdblYes11,312.63
Noahrichards98Yes10,039.37
QIAOmainYes5,832.62
EvanCrossYes5,322.74
asymptoticnormalityYes4,702.64
jotavea.incYes4,267.72
marcopolosrhinoYes4,065.8
thebetter1234Yes4,000
mamaiYes3,983.77
garywinstonYes3,811.57
TheDowIsOver50ThousandYes3,605
0x7D3e8164c0E39Cad7c720a9996D1390229573074-1754791225715Yes3,359.2
Gambler1968Yes3,214
0x8dszc153187wmyYes3,186.94
jackpan1024Yes3,084.97
TBill1Yes3,081.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:24:13BUYYes0.689999985818$12.11
03:44:09BUYYes0.68999969642$1.50
03:44:04SELLYes0.68200$136.00
03:24:03BUYYes0.699999722$1.50
03:23:58SELLYes0.6823251101227$154.89
03:23:16SELLNo0.330$9.00
03:22:49SELLNo0.3167$20.84
03:22:48BUYYes0.69183$126.01
03:22:42BUYYes0.72100$72.00
03:22:40BUYNo0.3167$20.84
03:22:40BUYYes0.6933$22.62
03:22:39BUYNo0.300464210317,316$5202.80
03:22:37BUYYes0.69491$339.12
03:13:40SELLYes0.748$5.60
02:30:16BUYYes0.759999984813$10.00
01:05:43SELLYes0.73142$103.46
00:46:48SELLYes0.741$0.97
00:37:34BUYYes0.75999990881$1.00
00:35:52SELLYes0.733$1.97
00:35:49SELLYes0.731$0.91
23:08:13SELLYes0.7427$20.27
22:57:40SELLYes0.7414$10.13
22:54:40SELLYes0.7427$19.73
22:43:21SELLNo0.24100$24.00
22:42:00SELLNo0.2424781553206$49.95