jackpan1024
0x37b852d1bfd1878f80e57bbaa7d0718fdb327102
- Realised P&L
- $-127.94
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.545 | $1.7k | −$441.39 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.98 |
| Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? · Yes | 0.795 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$605.69at 0.818Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$41.84at 0.978Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$31.44at 0.761Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
- +$23.43at 0.843Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$14.25at 0.836Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $3.0k |
| 07-31 12:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9024927261 | $3.0k |
| 07-01 03:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.0k |
| 04-10 07:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $712.74 |
| 04-08 06:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8699999995 | $713.83 |
| 04-01 11:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $174.06 |
| 03-20 04:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6822058909 | $1.4k |
| 03-19 10:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $703.78 |
| 03-06 06:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.799133449 | $834.96 |
| 02-27 09:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9099999986 | $38.79 |
| 02-24 07:05 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31? | BUY | 0.7608049115 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 09:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7299999982 | $301.66 |
| 02-20 04:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.9869035695 | $161.19 |
| 02-07 16:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.8434324183 | $137.76 |
| 02-03 06:49 | Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? | BUY | 0.2452011944 | $68.98 |