PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

VibeyQuant

0x1f85e6e3e41e5f1fe03f6cf22a52ae4e352ea51b

Realised P&L
$52.8k
Volume
$2.58M
Markets traded
1,427
Open portfolio
$56.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,427
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7640.755$7.1k$87.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6180.445$7.1k$2.7k
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? · No0.7150.725$6.7k+$96.44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6650.545$5.6k$1.2k
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? · No0.7040.475$5.0k$2.4k
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.7280.895$3.2k+$603.28
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7080.755$2.8k+$175.29
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.7720.865$2.2k+$234.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4300.655$2.0k+$675.00
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.5160.535$1.3k+$45.88
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7800.805$1.2k+$37.57
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.3400.735$1.0k+$552.33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.6570.690$969.99+$45.50
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4700.460$945.02$22.73
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6700.925$925.00+$255.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:18Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August?BUY0.8$232.80
08-01 21:16Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.5158742189$1.2k
08-01 21:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.6575391006$924.49
08-01 21:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.77$387.43
07-22 16:11Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on July 22?BUY0.6099999995$451.74
07-22 16:10Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on July 22?BUY0.6$18.00
07-22 16:08Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?SELL0.89$8.90
07-22 16:08Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.903$465.07
07-19 01:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.5599999998$584.95
07-19 01:02Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.88$220.00
07-19 01:02Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.75$144.75
07-19 01:01Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.6$241.72
07-18 20:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.53$37.38
07-17 04:26China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.939$9.39
07-17 04:26Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.81$199.26