PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VibeyQuant

0x1f85e6e3e41e5f1fe03f6cf22a52ae4e352ea51b

Realised P&L
$35.8k
Volume
$2.63M
Markets traded
1,550
Open portfolio
$53.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,550
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6180.875$13.9k+$4.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7640.959$9.0k+$1.8k
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6670.555$8.5k−$1.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4300.915$2.7k+$1.5k
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.7280.700$2.5k−$101.05
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.7720.920$2.3k+$373.61
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.3700.949$1.4k+$870.40
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6830.915$1.4k+$347.50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5980.805$1.2k+$319.86
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7800.715$1.1k−$97.43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6700.955$955.00+$285.00
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2700.815$889.18+$594.61
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4700.381$783.58−$184.17
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.961$582.64+$115.44
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.8000.872$539.77+$44.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 18:23Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.178185941$11.79
10-25 18:22Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.1582174373$188.29
10-25 18:20Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.157$39.25
10-06 02:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.6$720.06
10-06 02:33Browns vs. JetsBUY0.45$45.00
10-06 02:33Bears vs. PackersBUY0.59$295.00
10-06 02:32Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$101.53
10-06 02:30Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5BUY0.5497251372$100.00
09-24 23:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.75$200.59
09-24 23:22Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5BUY0.5199999998$500.00
09-24 23:21Spread: Packers (-4.5)BUY0.5199999998$500.00
09-11 05:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.38$190.00
09-10 16:49Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5299999981$75.99
09-10 16:4649ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5BUY0.49$47.04
09-10 16:4649ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5BUY0.4899999992$100.00