Cptrade
0xb187a6fae3d0b60108f13006359dded4d15944a9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $411.1k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $16.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.545 | $16.0k | −$696.51 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$346.50 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.88 |
| Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22? · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$303.95 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.595Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29?
- +$3.2kat 0.807Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.835Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$813.29at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$502.25at 0.447Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:22 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.914 | $4.57 |
| 07-30 14:39 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 07-18 12:55 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.67 | $30.15 |
| 07-10 17:14 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5775 | $346.50 |
| 07-10 03:09 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $35.50 |
| 07-08 10:02 | Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.011 | $12.10 |
| 07-08 10:01 | Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 10:01 | Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.24 |
| 07-08 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8? | SELL | 0.12 | $26.67 |
| 07-08 09:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8? | BUY | 0.1346042222 | $60.57 |
| 07-08 09:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8? | SELL | 0.12 | $33.15 |
| 07-08 09:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 07-07 23:35 | Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.75 |
| 07-07 23:34 | Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.046 | $19.23 |
| 07-07 23:34 | Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.044 | $3.00 |