QIAOmain
0x46f660832a2cb12ce00885e57a7e4c8f130cb9d6
- Realised P&L
- $286.57
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.718 | 0.555 | $3.2k | −$952.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$689.30at 0.838Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$253.51at 0.918Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$95.33at 0.928Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$94.67at 0.850Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$80.69at 0.872Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 03:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $724.31 |
| 07-30 03:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $96.62 |
| 06-29 03:27 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8678619222 | $548.99 |
| 06-29 01:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9314582483 | $1000.00 |
| 06-29 01:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.7141701075 | $1.0k |
| 06-26 09:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7318026293 | $4.5k |
| 06-26 09:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.9890747176 | $2.2k |
| 06-25 09:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.3k |
| 04-30 05:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $680.00 |
| 04-30 05:38 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $686.37 |
| 04-24 02:56 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $591.71 |
| 02-26 01:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8349750273 | $3.2k |
| 02-26 01:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.9973137209 | $3.2k |
| 01-28 08:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9177870469 | $2.9k |
| 01-28 08:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.9944459859 | $1.3k |