Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.635. up 0.286 over the period, from 0.349. Range 0.349 to 0.643. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.642	30	30
0.643	205	235
0.648	40	275
0.649	25	300
0.651	140	440
0.652	118	558
0.654	60	618
0.655	300	918
0.656	284	1,202
0.657	56	1,258
0.659	95	1,353
0.664	30	1,383

Spread0.013Mid0.635

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.629	175	175
0.628	145	320
0.626	100	420
0.622	140	560
0.621	350	910
0.620	700	1,610
0.619	120	1,730
0.615	146	1,876
0.565	20	1,896
0.563	210	2,106
0.494	22	2,128
0.493	8	2,136

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.371	175	175
0.372	145	320
0.374	100	420
0.378	140	560
0.379	350	910
0.380	700	1,610
0.381	120	1,730
0.385	146	1,876
0.435	20	1,896
0.437	210	2,106
0.506	22	2,128
0.507	8	2,136

Spread0.013Mid0.364

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.358	30	30
0.357	205	235
0.352	40	275
0.351	25	300
0.349	140	440
0.348	118	558
0.346	60	618
0.345	300	918
0.344	284	1,202
0.343	56	1,258
0.341	95	1,353
0.336	30	1,383

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
flawfence	Yes	1,466
G.Hchen	Yes	1,050.5
theta-thunberg	Yes	915.84
bernardbulletin	Yes	893.45
0xf05Ef52F99c00Ff9cA2fa69fB795dF2E8d0B209C-1785717406741	Yes	499.99
PaddyAlpha	Yes	293.94
KimchiCapital	Yes	224.99
xiaoaojiang	Yes	205
aHjCz	Yes	204.14
itsjustcheddar	Yes	190
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	166
0x3958da5B33B6CB871fA7cBCECe3149096579830b-1782990484921	Yes	115.49
sunnynotbunny	Yes	100
Maximus374	Yes	43
0x1e29…0a90	Yes	28.57
Sid999	Yes	27.03
0x5489Eab7CE59eD634582B921a71203c270081633-1766820274058	Yes	20
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	15.87
0x3ff4…c6ca	Yes	12.11
denso	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:35:56	BUY	No	0.3609999797	27	$9.75
04:35:35	SELL	Yes	0.64	10	$6.33
04:35:29	SELL	Yes	0.64	11	$7.28
04:35:23	SELL	Yes	0.64	20	$12.56
04:35:17	BUY	No	0.36	8	$2.88
04:35:17	SELL	Yes	0.64	20	$12.54
04:35:17	BUY	No	0.36	11	$3.96
04:35:17	BUY	No	0.35925	40	$14.37
04:35:15	BUY	No	0.36	41	$14.90
04:35:14	BUY	No	0.36	10	$3.60
04:13:54	SELL	Yes	0.64	100	$64.06
03:54:41	SELL	No	0.353	0	$0.16
01:13:09	SELL	No	0.359	40	$14.36
01:12:38	SELL	No	0.361	20	$7.22
01:12:38	SELL	No	0.368	40	$14.72
01:10:59	BUY	Yes	0.6319999815	5	$3.00
01:10:56	BUY	Yes	0.6299999188	4	$2.56
01:10:56	BUY	Yes	0.629999988	16	$10.00
01:10:56	BUY	Yes	0.6067821985	880	$533.79
01:10:54	BUY	No	0.385	14	$5.29
20:06:42	SELL	No	0.4	5	$2.00
20:05:14	SELL	No	0.401	5	$2.00
06:22:23	BUY	No	0.437	25	$11.01
06:22:17	BUY	No	0.384	5	$1.84
06:22:17	BUY	No	0.384	30	$11.52