PolyBot

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Traders

0x1e29bead786246db9d18abc750d234a4c8d00a90

Realised P&L
$188.30
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$36.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? · Yes0.3500.632$18.06+$8.06
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.690$13.27+$3.27
Will "OpenAI" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? · Yes0.1310.160$5.60+$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 21:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSELL0.12$0.71
08-04 21:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-04 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.03$1.00
08-04 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-04 19:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-04 19:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
08-04 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.1415761003$1.00
08-04 18:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-04 18:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-04 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-04 18:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-04 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.0193175123$1.00
08-04 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-04 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00
08-04 18:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00