PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5489Eab7CE59eD634582B921a71203c270081633-1766820274058

0x5489eab7ce59ed634582b921a71203c270081633

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$328.3k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4390.395$450.05$49.95
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2460.188$266.51$83.49
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0370.051$208.78+$58.78
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.4600.360$195.55$54.45
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.006$42.86$57.14
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? · Yes0.3860.345$15.52$1.86
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? · No0.5960.655$13.10+$1.18
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? · Yes0.3460.636$12.73+$5.81
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? · No0.4850.295$11.80$7.60
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.2080.029$1.18$7.16
Will Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? · Yes0.1900.013$0.52$7.08
Will Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? · Yes0.3160.009$0.36$12.28
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · HANJIN BRION0.0900.000$0.00$20.00
Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage · YFP Gaming0.5300.000$0.00$140.00
Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:06Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?SELL0.1152740105$4.16
07-19 21:06Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?SELL0.247$2.49
07-19 21:06Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.012875$0.52
07-19 21:06Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.15$0.79
07-19 21:06Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?SELL0.08$0.56
07-19 21:05Will LaTrice Verrett win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.0058$0.12
07-08 03:47Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?SELL0.11$2.20
07-08 03:46Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?SELL0.31$12.40
06-15 04:43UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7247072213$300.00
06-15 04:05UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.01$5.00
06-15 03:06UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.229999998$75.00
06-15 01:59UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2299999986$100.00
06-14 03:09Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.5199999992$150.00
06-12 20:33Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5499999983$126.00
06-12 20:32SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?SELL0.999$814.70