0x5489Eab7CE59eD634582B921a71203c270081633-1766820274058
0x5489eab7ce59ed634582b921a71203c270081633
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $328.3k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.56at 0.482Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
- +$318.24at 0.609SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$314.40at 0.323Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$269.71at 0.748Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$260.74at 0.450Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | SELL | 0.1152740105 | $4.16 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.247 | $2.49 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.012875 | $0.52 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.79 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.56 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Will LaTrice Verrett win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.0058 | $0.12 |
| 07-08 03:47 | Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 07-08 03:46 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? | SELL | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 06-15 04:43 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7247072213 | $300.00 |
| 06-15 04:05 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 03:06 | UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.229999998 | $75.00 |
| 06-15 01:59 | UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 03:09 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $150.00 |
| 06-12 20:33 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.5499999983 | $126.00 |
| 06-12 20:32 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL | 0.999 | $814.70 |