PolyBot

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Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-08
Resolves by
https://elections.nz/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.078. down 0.083 over the period, from 0.161. Range 0.062 to 0.273. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1262020
0.1635070
0.164575
0.16630105
0.195100205
0.34965270
0.350195465
0.35150515
0.46250565
0.590400965
0.591501,015
0.707501,065

Spread0.096Mid0.078

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0302626
0.0161035
0.0152055
0.0141671
0.013107178
0.012135313
0.0111,0001,313
0.003251,339
0.0022001,539
0.0017322,271

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9702626
0.9841035
0.9852055
0.9861671
0.987107178
0.988135313
0.9891,0001,313
0.997251,339
0.9982001,539
0.9997322,271

Spread0.096Mid0.922

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8742020
0.8375070
0.836575
0.83430105
0.805100205
0.65165270
0.650195465
0.64950515
0.53850565
0.410400965
0.409501,015
0.293501,065

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes208.32
LornaPredictsYes144.46
TheOne777Yes144.06
Numitus1994Yes20.48
bpr6180Yes20.2
Pdh19Yes20.05
GuyFromTinderYes20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
pppnnYes6.15
WMNBYes5
48xsdsYes3.2
HaradwaithYes3.06
northdrawerYes1.58
0xa5ef…2966No575.48
cigarettesNo20
conherenceNo20
trrr12No1.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:32:34BUYYes0.07820$1.56
22:50:40BUYNo0.9475$4.92
22:50:40BUYNo0.94699999648$7.58
22:16:39BUYNo0.9777$6.94
22:16:37BUYNo0.97713$12.51
23:54:52BUYNo0.85220$17.04
13:27:51BUYYes0.2148$1.71
12:19:42BUYNo0.8397$6.12
05:19:50BUYYes0.18611$2.02
03:34:02BUYNo0.8396$5.29
06:34:14SELLNo0.770$0.03
22:46:11BUYNo0.7817$12.99
22:39:35BUYYes0.209999995817$3.50
13:39:21SELLNo0.7820$0.04
08:45:41SELLNo0.7891$0.55
07:43:54SELLYes0.1613$0.46
07:43:18SELLYes0.1697$1.17
07:41:44SELLYes0.1690$0.01
07:41:42BUYNo0.826999990710$8.10
07:41:42BUYNo0.81836220$16.37
07:41:42SELLYes0.19320$3.86
07:13:53SELLYes0.20820$4.16
07:13:53BUYNo0.79220$15.84
06:37:21BUYNo0.76520$15.30
14:27:54SELLYes0.2520$5.00