Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-11-08
- Resolves by
- https://elections.nz/
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.126 | 20 | 20 |
| 0.163 | 50 | 70 |
| 0.164 | 5 | 75 |
| 0.166 | 30 | 105 |
| 0.195 | 100 | 205 |
| 0.349 | 65 | 270 |
| 0.350 | 195 | 465 |
| 0.351 | 50 | 515 |
| 0.462 | 50 | 565 |
| 0.590 | 400 | 965 |
| 0.591 | 50 | 1,015 |
| 0.707 | 50 | 1,065 |
Spread0.096Mid0.078
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.030 | 26 | 26 |
| 0.016 | 10 | 35 |
| 0.015 | 20 | 55 |
| 0.014 | 16 | 71 |
| 0.013 | 107 | 178 |
| 0.012 | 135 | 313 |
| 0.011 | 1,000 | 1,313 |
| 0.003 | 25 | 1,339 |
| 0.002 | 200 | 1,539 |
| 0.001 | 732 | 2,271 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.970 | 26 | 26 |
| 0.984 | 10 | 35 |
| 0.985 | 20 | 55 |
| 0.986 | 16 | 71 |
| 0.987 | 107 | 178 |
| 0.988 | 135 | 313 |
| 0.989 | 1,000 | 1,313 |
| 0.997 | 25 | 1,339 |
| 0.998 | 200 | 1,539 |
| 0.999 | 732 | 2,271 |
Spread0.096Mid0.922
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.874 | 20 | 20 |
| 0.837 | 50 | 70 |
| 0.836 | 5 | 75 |
| 0.834 | 30 | 105 |
| 0.805 | 100 | 205 |
| 0.651 | 65 | 270 |
| 0.650 | 195 | 465 |
| 0.649 | 50 | 515 |
| 0.538 | 50 | 565 |
| 0.410 | 400 | 965 |
| 0.409 | 50 | 1,015 |
| 0.293 | 50 | 1,065 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 208.32 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 144.46 |
| TheOne777 | Yes | 144.06 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 20.48 |
| bpr6180 | Yes | 20.2 |
| Pdh19 | Yes | 20.05 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 6.15 |
| WMNB | Yes | 5 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 3.2 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 3.06 |
| northdrawer | Yes | 1.58 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No | 575.48 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| conherence | No | 20 |
| trrr12 | No | 1.06 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:32:34 | BUY | Yes | 0.078 | 20 | $1.56 |
| 22:50:40 | BUY | No | 0.947 | 5 | $4.92 |
| 22:50:40 | BUY | No | 0.9469999964 | 8 | $7.58 |
| 22:16:39 | BUY | No | 0.977 | 7 | $6.94 |
| 22:16:37 | BUY | No | 0.977 | 13 | $12.51 |
| 23:54:52 | BUY | No | 0.852 | 20 | $17.04 |
| 13:27:51 | BUY | Yes | 0.214 | 8 | $1.71 |
| 12:19:42 | BUY | No | 0.839 | 7 | $6.12 |
| 05:19:50 | BUY | Yes | 0.186 | 11 | $2.02 |
| 03:34:02 | BUY | No | 0.839 | 6 | $5.29 |
| 06:34:14 | SELL | No | 0.77 | 0 | $0.03 |
| 22:46:11 | BUY | No | 0.78 | 17 | $12.99 |
| 22:39:35 | BUY | Yes | 0.2099999958 | 17 | $3.50 |
| 13:39:21 | SELL | No | 0.782 | 0 | $0.04 |
| 08:45:41 | SELL | No | 0.789 | 1 | $0.55 |
| 07:43:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.161 | 3 | $0.46 |
| 07:43:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.169 | 7 | $1.17 |
| 07:41:44 | SELL | Yes | 0.169 | 0 | $0.01 |
| 07:41:42 | BUY | No | 0.8269999907 | 10 | $8.10 |
| 07:41:42 | BUY | No | 0.818362 | 20 | $16.37 |
| 07:41:42 | SELL | Yes | 0.193 | 20 | $3.86 |
| 07:13:53 | SELL | Yes | 0.208 | 20 | $4.16 |
| 07:13:53 | BUY | No | 0.792 | 20 | $15.84 |
| 06:37:21 | BUY | No | 0.765 | 20 | $15.30 |
| 14:27:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.25 | 20 | $5.00 |