Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-08
Resolves by: https://elections.nz/
Rewards: 50 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.39. Range 0.37 to 0.60. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	5	5
0.43	15	20
0.44	50	70
0.46	17	87
0.47	16	103
0.50	39	142
0.52	20	162
0.53	7	169
0.63	65	234
0.64	50	284
0.71	90	374
0.81	183	557

Spread0.03Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	50	50
0.38	10	60
0.37	11	71
0.36	248	319
0.21	400	719
0.15	300	1,019
0.13	6	1,025
0.12	416	1,441
0.11	10	1,451
0.10	1,000	2,451
0.09	22,222	24,673
0.07	35,714	60,387

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	50	50
0.62	10	60
0.63	11	71
0.64	248	319
0.79	400	719
0.85	300	1,019
0.87	6	1,025
0.88	416	1,441
0.89	10	1,451
0.90	1,000	2,451
0.91	22,222	24,673
0.93	35,714	60,387

Spread0.03Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	5	5
0.57	15	20
0.56	50	70
0.54	17	87
0.53	16	103
0.50	39	142
0.48	20	162
0.47	7	169
0.37	65	234
0.36	50	284
0.29	90	374
0.19	183	557

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	150.43
Retarts	Yes	113.99
TheOne777	Yes	72.09
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	69
Haradwaith	Yes	55
1walrus	Yes	52.06
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	48.55
tradetosurvive1	Yes	20
0x28a6…d399	Yes	15
86fgh	Yes	11.76
winexecutescale	Yes	10.52
95dfs	Yes	10.44
niglette	Yes	6
WMNB	Yes	5
Valouass	Yes	2.44
random-random123	Yes	2.44
BhriguSamhita	Yes	1.89
Lucerys	Yes	1.5
0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	Yes	1
0xa5ef…2966	No	575.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:16:54	BUY	No	0.61	50	$30.50
00:16:54	BUY	No	0.56	66	$36.89
05:20:07	BUY	Yes	0.42	9	$3.65
17:32:33	BUY	No	0.58	20	$11.60
11:24:49	BUY	Yes	0.41	30	$12.43
10:24:34	BUY	Yes	0.42	7	$3.11
04:53:48	BUY	Yes	0.37	7	$2.74
04:51:25	SELL	Yes	0.36	13	$4.61
22:50:40	BUY	No	0.6393461538	5	$3.32
22:50:40	BUY	No	0.63	8	$5.04
22:16:39	BUY	No	0.64	7	$4.54
22:16:37	BUY	No	0.63	13	$8.06
10:13:52	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.04
03:01:38	SELL	No	0.59	8	$4.60
23:54:52	BUY	No	0.64	20	$12.80
18:51:05	BUY	No	0.59	39	$22.95
00:16:39	SELL	Yes	0.4	10	$4.06
18:19:20	BUY	Yes	0.39	5	$1.95
14:34:44	BUY	No	0.6	9	$5.20
13:27:51	BUY	No	0.63	8	$5.04
12:19:42	BUY	No	0.64	7	$4.67
08:30:33	BUY	Yes	0.3899999314	5	$1.99
20:03:18	SELL	Yes	0.3789124668	8	$2.86
03:34:03	BUY	No	0.62	6	$3.91
07:18:14	BUY	Yes	0.3499999602	8	$2.64