PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.002 to 0.007. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0037979
0.00430109
0.009100209
0.01020229
0.01246275
0.08715290
0.10030320
0.10126346
0.10525371
0.10687458
0.10790548
0.13495643

Spread0.002Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00122,25322,253

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99922,25322,253

Spread0.002Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9977979
0.99630109
0.991100209
0.99020229
0.98846275
0.91315290
0.90030320
0.89926346
0.89525371
0.89487458
0.89390548
0.86695643

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DARLAMARLAYes679.22
OlkaYes200
balthazarYes119.71
LornaPredictsYes106.83
TENETENETYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
planktonXDYes86.65
pestanimalYes60
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes55.96
Numitus1994Yes45.84
AJSVYes33.34
VonVonaghYes25
triklozoidYes15
plainfolderYes13.18
bjproloYes5
0xd7e3…8327Yes5
0xa5ef…2966No1,556.21
manbo3No48.34
kitty07No25
usddsNo12.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:19:57SELLYes0.00215$0.03
06:19:50BUYNo0.9985$4.99
06:19:50BUYNo0.9986$6.39
05:48:06BUYNo0.99840$39.92
05:48:05BUYNo0.99820$19.96
05:32:56BUYNo0.99921$20.98
05:32:54BUYNo0.99920$19.98
05:22:42BUYNo0.99945$44.95
03:20:24BUYNo0.99912$12.00
02:20:11BUYNo0.999262$262.19
02:20:11BUYNo0.999135$134.87
02:20:09BUYNo0.99925$24.98
02:20:08BUYNo0.9983372593135$134.78
02:20:08BUYNo0.99850$49.90
23:49:30BUYNo0.9985$4.99
21:31:02BUYNo0.99811$10.49
21:30:14BUYNo0.99810$9.98
21:20:53BUYNo0.99810$9.98
18:05:23BUYNo0.99875$74.75
18:05:21BUYNo0.99840$39.92
20:35:08BUYNo0.99810$10.10
22:11:10BUYNo0.9910$9.90
22:11:10BUYNo0.9911$10.89
21:57:30BUYNo0.997$6.93
05:24:42SELLYes0.0116$0.07