0xd7e3da53d32768336b53bd4120be309b72438327
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,424
- Open portfolio
- $111.63
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar43.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.60at 0.083Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?
- +$11.86at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3?
- +$8.36at 0.111Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$8.26at 0.083Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?
- +$6.67at 0.629Will Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 18:32 | Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.214 | $1.07 |
| 09-12 18:32 | Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.47 |
| 09-12 18:32 | Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.179 | $1.79 |
| 08-25 19:53 | Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-25 18:16 | Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-25 18:16 | Will Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-25 17:07 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.14 |
| 08-25 14:44 | Will Wesley Jackson win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-25 14:44 | Will Sandeep Somal win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-25 14:44 | Will Jagruti Bhatt win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-25 14:44 | Will Patrick Brown win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-25 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.60 |
| 08-25 13:47 | Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 08-25 13:47 | Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |