Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.029. down 0.026 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.027 to 0.130. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.037	110	110
0.038	148	258
0.040	150	408
0.044	574	982
0.045	424	1,406
0.046	10	1,417
0.047	450	1,867
0.048	820	2,687
0.050	1,000	3,687
0.052	50	3,737
0.058	212	3,949
0.068	53	4,002

Spread0.016Mid0.029

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	110	110
0.020	528	638
0.019	100	738
0.014	382	1,120
0.011	870	1,990
0.010	2,150	4,140
0.009	556	4,695
0.008	625	5,320
0.007	37	5,358
0.006	1,062	6,420
0.005	1,515	7,935
0.004	4,053	11,988

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	110	110
0.980	528	638
0.981	100	738
0.986	382	1,120
0.989	870	1,990
0.990	2,150	4,140
0.991	556	4,695
0.992	625	5,320
0.993	37	5,358
0.994	1,062	6,420
0.995	1,515	7,935
0.996	4,053	11,988

Spread0.016Mid0.971

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.963	110	110
0.962	148	258
0.960	150	408
0.956	574	982
0.955	424	1,406
0.954	10	1,417
0.953	450	1,867
0.952	820	2,687
0.950	1,000	3,687
0.948	50	3,737
0.942	212	3,949
0.932	53	4,002

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tetrose	Yes	2,739.86
0x7733D3e1B7b35481845c7838B6246c2A9Fba97bd-1771694682976	Yes	1,854.01
jm98	Yes	1,715.99
GrokEnjoyer	Yes	1,110.99
PROPHET.NOTES	Yes	819.44
Quarrelsome-Branch	Yes	759.78
NFspec	Yes	623
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	472.01
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	342.96
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	269.2
purebaby	Yes	225.17
Cyclone	Yes	200.08
warptrading	Yes	200
Trasgu	Yes	200
0xcabb…bbc4	Yes	159.7
whig	Yes	150
0xb291d640C942e1A3B14078443355e47B21F94059-1761033867805	Yes	150
mt1980	Yes	147.06
whumpa	Yes	139.52
dzmontana	Yes	138.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:39:57	BUY	Yes	0.034	50	$1.70
07:54:04	BUY	Yes	0.04	50	$2.00
07:30:03	SELL	Yes	0.04	295	$11.80
07:29:54	SELL	Yes	0.04	85	$3.39
07:29:52	BUY	No	0.9463255219	923	$873.06
03:52:49	SELL	Yes	0.08	288	$23.04
20:39:55	BUY	Yes	0.09	5	$0.45
19:07:19	SELL	No	0.88	50	$44.00
19:01:19	BUY	No	0.89	10	$8.90
17:51:58	SELL	Yes	0.12	100	$12.00
17:49:53	SELL	No	0.85	34	$28.66
17:49:44	SELL	No	0.85	42	$35.54
17:49:25	SELL	No	0.86	16	$13.99
17:49:23	SELL	No	0.86	50	$43.00
17:49:19	SELL	No	0.86	50	$43.00
17:49:14	SELL	No	0.9	50	$45.00
17:49:10	SELL	No	0.9	0	$0.08
17:49:07	SELL	No	0.9	142	$127.64
17:49:05	SELL	No	0.9075318949	980	$889.18
17:49:04	BUY	Yes	0.1	50	$4.99
20:27:18	SELL	No	0.92	50	$46.00
20:26:18	SELL	No	0.92	39	$36.07
20:26:09	SELL	No	0.9262312572	104	$96.37
20:21:08	SELL	No	0.93	10	$9.64
20:21:03	SELL	Yes	0.05	0	$0.00