0xb291d640C942e1A3B14078443355e47B21F94059-1761033867805
0xb291d640c942e1a3b14078443355e47b21f94059
- Realised P&L
- $145.75
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $74.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 1.000 | $60.00 | +$36.00 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $14.25 | −$2.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.00at 0.600Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 2 million views on day 1?
- +$0.00at 0.630Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$0.00at 0.580Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 02-11 09:04 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $299.88 |
| 02-11 09:02 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $212.94 |
| 02-11 08:53 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $408.87 |
| 02-11 07:00 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.5k |