PolyBot

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Traders

Trasgu

0xec90e497ea31775384e3aad74486ca1aa0301c0f

Realised P&L
$-96.31
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$19.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.0900.095$19.00+$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Down0.0350.000$0.00$2.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.0050.000$0.00$50.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.0510.000$0.00$14.00
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down0.3750.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5949999983$50.00
05-11 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4399998064$1.00
05-11 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.3799999012$1.00
05-11 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
05-11 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
05-11 17:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
05-11 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.3799999012$1.00
05-11 17:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
05-11 17:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.32$1.00
05-09 09:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.239999856$1.00
05-09 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.429999828$1.00
05-09 07:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
05-09 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
05-09 07:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00
05-09 07:13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.08$1.00