whig
0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
- Realised P&L
- $312.2k
- Volume
- $9.47M
- Markets traded
- 1,007
- Open portfolio
- $220.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.2kat 0.229Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.2kat 0.390Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$19.6kat 0.994MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$16.4kat 0.002US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$15.1kat 0.357Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:49 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8177299714 | $4.5k |
| 11-01 01:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $15.23 |
| 10-31 23:01 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.0k |
| 10-31 22:28 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.2898886026 | $327.37 |
| 10-31 16:48 | Republican Senate odds hit 30% again by November 1? | BUY | 0.1341331658 | $32.03 |
| 10-29 22:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.58512069 | $1.2k |
| 10-29 19:39 | Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | BUY | 0.2595561693 | $202.05 |
| 10-29 19:38 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0106721251 | $0.87 |
| 10-29 05:52 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0263394086 | $11.03 |
| 10-29 05:52 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0652988529 | $303.11 |
| 10-28 21:44 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.1091514902 | $60.91 |
| 10-28 19:30 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.2310323298 | $550.25 |
| 10-28 18:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.15 | $156.65 |
| 10-28 16:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.952 | $3.8k |
| 10-28 14:34 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1 | $158.46 |