whig
0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
- Realised P&L
- $318.7k
- Volume
- $7.92M
- Markets traded
- 899
- Open portfolio
- $185.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded899
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.2kat 0.229Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.2kat 0.390Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$19.6kat 0.994MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$16.4kat 0.002US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$15.1kat 0.357Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:02 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $704.00 |
| 09-16 22:03 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3 | $53.48 |
| 09-16 17:38 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $9.6k |
| 09-16 17:32 | Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.9988613634 | $517.96 |
| 09-16 17:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 09-15 16:56 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0106535872 | $99.45 |
| 09-14 15:14 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.85 | $3.0k |
| 09-14 13:45 | Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | BUY | 0.8912662172 | $399.27 |
| 09-14 13:42 | Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | BUY | 0.8702085341 | $361.17 |
| 09-14 13:40 | Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | BUY | 0.8156214206 | $272.02 |
| 09-14 13:10 | Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.1k |
| 09-13 21:13 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8828369252 | $5.4k |
| 09-13 20:47 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.71 | $22.06 |
| 09-13 19:43 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.81 | $3.0k |
| 09-13 19:41 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8533514764 | $3.0k |