PolyBot

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Traders

NFspec

0x4cb87641fc8e649fafe728d536785b5d26c0e737

Realised P&L
$-174.41
Volume
$34.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$86.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.1600.095$59.19$40.64
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.043$15.05$23.45
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes0.1480.045$12.64$29.07
ECB rate hike in 2026? · No0.1860.000$0.00$295.45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$84.00
Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers0.1500.000$0.00$31.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$84.00
08-01 13:51ECB rate cut in 2026?BUY0.12$21.72
06-22 20:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299999967$54.54
06-22 20:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299999989$150.00
06-22 20:38Bank of England rate hike in 2026?SELL0.5956226926$211.34
05-13 22:56ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1$24.40
05-13 22:55Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.20463$20.46
05-06 11:06Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3099999986$110.00
05-05 22:44Lakers vs. ThunderBUY0.1499999964$31.00
05-05 22:41Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?BUY0.12$30.00
05-05 22:40Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?BUY0.11$27.83
05-04 18:54ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.07$5.14
05-03 19:58ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1$35.00
05-03 19:57Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.029046451$263.88
04-24 23:10ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.29$2.50