PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcabb8b7a1a111bf4d4e373e51eb07798c02ebbc4

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$163.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6790.835$122.95+$22.95
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.2380.095$15.17$22.91
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.5700.815$14.30+$4.30
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8300.935$11.27+$1.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$60.00
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00$60.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$90.00
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-04-13? · No0.5610.000$0.00$19.09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? · Yes0.2810.000$0.00$160.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20? · No0.3070.000$0.00$149.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$50.00
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5) · Levante UD0.2840.000$0.00$60.82
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shenzhen Leopards · Sichuan Blue Whales0.2770.000$0.00$80.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? · No0.5050.000$0.00$10.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-22 13:57Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.131999998$50.00
04-22 13:17US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.38$3.80
04-22 13:11US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.4191993293$50.00
04-22 13:08Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.4899999966$46.33
04-22 13:03Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.6724763334$47.64
04-22 12:40Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?BUY0.1122376426$50.00
04-22 12:22Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
04-22 09:32Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?SELL0.232576$11.63
04-22 09:32Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.32$50.00
04-20 10:42Ducks vs. OilersBUY0.5999999976$48.80
04-20 01:15Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.3499999975$50.00
04-20 01:10Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?BUY0.297178003$50.00
04-19 22:10Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?BUY0.16$50.00
04-19 16:19Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?BUY0.3359999863$10.00
04-19 16:04Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?BUY0.2681170487$50.00