0xcabb8b7a1a111bf4d4e373e51eb07798c02ebbc4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $163.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$352.42at 0.387Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?
- +$126.67at 0.468Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 16?
- +$101.51at 0.534Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 16?
- +$90.98at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$72.52at 0.561Senators vs. Hurricanes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 13:57 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.131999998 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 13:17 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 04-22 13:11 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4191993293 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 13:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $46.33 |
| 04-22 13:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6724763334 | $47.64 |
| 04-22 12:40 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1122376426 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 12:22 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 09:32 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.232576 | $11.63 |
| 04-22 09:32 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 04-20 10:42 | Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $48.80 |
| 04-20 01:15 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 04-20 01:10 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.297178003 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 22:10 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 16:19 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.3359999863 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 16:04 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | BUY | 0.2681170487 | $50.00 |