PolyBot

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Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.50. up 0.12 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.22 to 0.55. 164 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.522020
0.614161
0.672081
0.6820101
0.7230131
0.7480211
0.8120231
0.8230261
0.835266
0.8520286
0.916292
0.9216308

Spread0.09Mid0.47

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.43145145
0.4280225
0.2829253
0.2015268
0.1930298
0.1830328
0.1520348
0.0670418
0.0579497
0.045502
0.0340542
0.0230572

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.57145145
0.5880225
0.7229253
0.8015268
0.8130298
0.8230328
0.8520348
0.9470418
0.9579497
0.965502
0.9740542
0.9830572

Spread0.09Mid0.52

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.482020
0.394161
0.332081
0.3220101
0.2830131
0.2680211
0.1920231
0.1830261
0.175266
0.1520286
0.096292
0.0816308

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729Yes148.78
tradetosurvive1Yes55
pootytherewardfarmerYes54.5
cit500Yes5
hithitfarYes2.28
AJSVNo69.06
Tallguy2527No60
youtube-traderNo40
balthazarNo24.73
tiongbuNo20.01
0x2091…b784No20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No15
sillyboysalsaNo14.06
GuyFromTinderNo1.7
xixihaha009No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:23:04BUYYes0.4320$8.60
06:07:07BUYNo0.4620$9.20
04:36:27BUYYes0.420$8.00
17:31:01SELLNo0.532$0.90
17:23:25BUYNo0.539999979218$9.88
14:30:14BUYYes0.3120$6.20
00:21:02BUYYes0.3310$3.30
11:17:47BUYNo0.5920$11.80
11:17:28BUYYes0.3220$6.40
10:31:35SELLYes0.25$1.00
03:28:08BUYYes0.3120$6.20
02:47:46BUYNo0.6620$13.20
00:07:12SELLYes0.3415$5.10
21:12:01BUYNo0.615$3.05
21:03:27BUYNo0.5915$8.85
18:08:57BUYYes0.385$1.90
12:08:31BUYYes0.359999995417$6.22
12:08:31BUYYes0.361$0.34
00:09:27BUYYes0.3220$6.40
22:16:42BUYNo0.6660$39.60
20:29:09BUYYes0.2890216575149$43.00
16:02:23SELLYes0.2820$5.60
14:01:15BUYNo0.6320$12.60
16:52:42BUYNo0.6140$24.40
14:20:54BUYYes0.3320$6.60