PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.047. down 0.053 over the period, from 0.100. Range 0.028 to 0.100. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0794949
0.08098147
0.1001,4201,567
0.1701801,747
0.272401,787
0.273101,797
0.282451,842
0.283101,852
0.293601,912
0.307501,962
0.313201,982
0.323202,002

Spread0.064Mid0.047

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0152,0002,000
0.011102,010
0.010102,020
0.003462,066
0.0025082,575
0.0013,1955,770

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9852,0002,000
0.989102,010
0.990102,020
0.997462,066
0.9985082,575
0.9993,1955,770

Spread0.064Mid0.953

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9214949
0.92098147
0.9001,4201,567
0.8301801,747
0.728401,787
0.727101,797
0.718451,842
0.717101,852
0.707601,912
0.693501,962
0.687201,982
0.677202,002

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
flawfenceYes4,244.06
lIllIIlYes1,420.35
VaryagYes1,050.74
Rr55Yes599.98
climateprofessorYes180.01
invictus..Yes151.39
strangeduck2Yes100
donthackmeYes84.58
pestanimalYes60
planktonXDYes57
0xf23e…fab9Yes55.43
PPMTYes29.9
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksqYes27.13
AJSVYes22.36
CorlysYes18.84
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes12
0x3d8891a8DACc3B38748372fb2A51d92F57EC39d8-1776488672016Yes10
Mojito9Yes10
e46m3Yes8.01
CheChe-0Yes8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:43:05SELLYes0.0166$0.09
01:44:32BUYYes0.06312$0.76
08:30:12BUYNo0.98440$39.36
08:30:12BUYNo0.98399999855$5.11
10:26:19BUYNo0.95137$130.09
00:05:51SELLYes0.0530$1.50
19:22:52SELLYes0.0521$1.04
15:25:48BUYNo0.925$5.00
15:25:06BUYYes0.0850$4.00
11:21:28BUYNo0.955$4.57
11:20:55BUYNo0.957$7.08
11:20:52BUYNo0.92770$708.37
11:16:07BUYNo0.925$4.60
06:38:36BUYNo0.9150$45.50
17:07:51BUYNo0.91100$91.00
15:41:54BUYNo0.91100$91.00
15:40:21BUYNo0.91100$91.00
14:05:18BUYNo0.9210$9.43
12:21:57BUYNo0.91189$172.40
12:18:15SELLYes0.0911$0.95
11:51:30SELLYes0.086$0.44
11:51:27SELLYes0.08173029341,734$141.70
11:01:40BUYNo0.920$17.88
11:00:51BUYNo0.950$45.00
10:52:51BUYNo0.950$45.00