PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf23e9e4f5feec8b10ccda492b7b44fe4cfd1fab9

Realised P&L
$-293.18
Volume
$47.1k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$64.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.265$18.82+$8.88
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.935$6.34+$0.98
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.420$6.30$3.30
Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.0210.021$6.13$0.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29? · No0.5801.000$5.00+$2.10
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1800.060$4.50$9.00
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.0260.004$2.59$12.38
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1000.050$2.50$2.50
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.015$2.29$12.45
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0990.013$1.75$12.11
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.0940.051$1.29$1.06
Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1500.011$1.15$13.85
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1970.113$1.13$0.85
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.0990.044$1.10$1.37
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1900.030$0.61$3.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:22Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?SELL0.039$6.23
08-04 08:22US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?SELL0.11$12.10
08-04 08:21Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.025$9.25
08-04 08:17Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?SELL0.962$14.36
08-04 08:12Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.025$1.40
08-04 08:12Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.036$2.37
08-04 08:12US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.07$6.16
08-04 08:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$14.19
08-04 08:07Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?SELL0.65$12.30
08-04 08:06US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.08$1.60
08-04 08:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.113$10.55
07-30 12:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 31?BUY0.04$1.52
07-30 08:56Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?SELL0.101$1.06
07-29 22:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?BUY0.53$4.77
07-29 22:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 30?BUY0.25$5.00