0xf23e9e4f5feec8b10ccda492b7b44fe4cfd1fab9
- Realised P&L
- $-293.18
- Volume
- $47.1k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $64.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.39at 0.366Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$25.73at 0.120Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?
- +$19.87at 0.272Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 26?
- +$18.65at 0.048Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?
- +$16.70at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:22 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | SELL | 0.039 | $6.23 |
| 08-04 08:22 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $12.10 |
| 08-04 08:21 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.025 | $9.25 |
| 08-04 08:17 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $14.36 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $2.37 |
| 08-04 08:12 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.16 |
| 08-04 08:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.19 |
| 08-04 08:07 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $12.30 |
| 08-04 08:06 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 08:06 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.113 | $10.55 |
| 07-30 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.52 |
| 07-30 08:56 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $1.06 |
| 07-29 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 07-29 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |