PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3d8891a8DACc3B38748372fb2A51d92F57EC39d8-1776488672016

0x3d8891a8dacc3b38748372fb2a51d92f57ec39d8

Realised P&L
$-164.77
Volume
$144.9k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$19.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0890.017$6.68$28.32
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0410.038$4.66$0.34
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes0.4000.015$4.34$107.65
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.2200.055$2.50$7.50
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0290.001$0.85$49.15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.24$0.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 19:24Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.4299999979$50.00
07-30 09:12Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-30 09:10Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.001$1.67
07-30 09:07Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?BUY0.0087188585$1.00
07-30 09:07Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?BUY0.0076231588$5.00
07-30 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-30 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5299999936$25.00
07-30 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5299999936$25.00
07-30 08:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
07-30 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-30 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
07-30 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-30 08:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-29 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.3099999926$25.00
07-29 22:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00