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Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-08-09
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.171. down 0.294 over the period, from 0.465. Range 0.029 to 0.475. 99 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2003030
0.2015080
0.2041090
0.20550140
0.20825165
0.20951216
0.2147223
0.21814237
0.22330267
0.22420287
0.22750337
0.22826363

Spread0.058Mid0.171

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1424141
0.141108149
0.13954203
0.12010213
0.11020233
0.09254287
0.09192379
0.09020399
0.083400799
0.082139938
0.0801,8002,738
0.075672,804

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8584141
0.859108149
0.86154203
0.88010213
0.89020233
0.90854287
0.90992379
0.91020399
0.917400799
0.918139938
0.9201,8002,738
0.925672,804

Spread0.058Mid0.829

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8003030
0.7995080
0.7961090
0.79550140
0.79225165
0.79151216
0.7867223
0.78214237
0.77730267
0.77620287
0.77350337
0.77226363

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
TouchDownThanaYes634.59
shiifooYes221
fi5hYes163.45
StraddleSellerYes146.77
LornaPredictsYes61.33
Started-with-20-USDYes59.46
0x6aaf…e2b8Yes59.41
Nobi-NobitaYes13.2
bjproloYes10
jam516Yes10
0x079c…363fYes4.95
0xa5ef…2966No1,592.33
donthackmeNo124.43
AJSVNo106.72
vozomnilNo90.58
HaradwaithNo81.09
neverhackmeNo62.4
lammNo15
0xf528…7e5bNo11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:32:23BUYNo0.7817$5.15
19:28:32BUYYes0.227$1.45
19:28:02BUYYes0.21999986285$1.09
19:28:00BUYYes0.219147$32.14
17:02:27BUYYes0.10160$6.06
16:58:21BUYYes0.184920888945$8.32
16:41:51BUYYes0.0310505424119$3.69
16:40:15BUYYes0.043999959223$1.01
16:29:36BUYNo0.9810$9.80
16:29:35BUYYes0.16526$4.29
16:29:32BUYNo0.972796963135$131.33
16:07:03BUYYes0.13320$2.66
16:07:00BUYNo0.98410$9.84
16:07:00BUYNo0.98410$9.84
16:06:14BUYNo0.98299988915$4.92
16:06:14BUYNo0.98310$9.83
16:06:12BUYYes0.113549625$2.84
16:00:09SELLYes0.0134$0.05
16:00:05BUYNo0.985497182216$15.74
16:00:02BUYNo0.9816$5.89
15:59:05BUYYes0.074120$8.88
15:58:44BUYYes0.0697991255515$35.92
15:46:35BUYYes0.068820824392$6.35
15:45:44BUYYes0.0558$0.43
15:10:27BUYNo0.98815$14.82